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HKY1894

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Everything posted by HKY1894

  1. HKY1894
    Interested in week leading into New Years. The -NAO means business
  2. HKY1894
    Christmas night snowstorm on happy hour gfs ...........we take
  3. HKY1894
    NAM is lights out along escarpment in NW NC
  4. HKY1894
    Opinions of chasing this to Winchester? I assume maybe Hancock or Hagerstown may be slightly better? Still don’t trust the mesoscale models yet for banding.
  5. HKY1894
    Looking good headed into first couple weeks of January. Think we will have chances to score big. Much improved from last winter
  6. HKY1894
    I want to chase this but it’s gonna be stressful trying to plan ahead to setup near best banding. Will have to make a decision by Tuesday.
  7. HKY1894
    Northern mountains looking good for midweek system. Gut feeling but this has consistently trended better today.
  8. HKY1894
    .........December 09 miller b style?
  9. HKY1894
    12z euro is interesting. Gfs is much different, if something like euro occurs I could see this trending better for climo favored areas in western part of NC. Blocking and hp to the north is classic cad setup
  10. HKY1894
    Thinking about chasing this up at beech, what times does it look to start? Trying to figure out when to get up there
  11. HKY1894
    Snowing lightly in boone starting to accumulate slowy 18z gfs is very interesting for this weekend, shows changeover to heavy snow as upper low moves over
  12. HKY1894
    Originally the euro showed winter storm, the timing of the high pressure was better for weekend wave. Now we have to hope GFS has right idea of keying on the weak s/w before next weekends rainstorm. all a matter of timing precip with optimal CAD config.
  13. HKY1894
    All gonna come down to warm nose. Wouldn’t trust the globals fully. But the euro and FV3 consistency has been impressive .
  14. HKY1894
    FV3 snow map is unbelievable especially the consistency over this week .
  15. HKY1894
    If FV3 euro CMC and UK all blow the QPF forecast this badly I’ll be surprised this thing is juiced .
  16. HKY1894
    Slightly looks like CLT has 3 inch qpf probably 2.4+ everywhere else .
  17. HKY1894
    00z FV3 big again
  18. HKY1894
    Canadian is massive hit, especially for mountains and western piedmont
  19. HKY1894
    QPF seems to be on an upward trend since last nights 0z run on many models specfically on FV3 and euro
  20. HKY1894
    mother of god
  21. HKY1894
    http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/ It's just under gfs like normal its the eval page though so it's FV3
  22. HKY1894
    From the ncep maps for FV3 looks like the northern stream closed low drops decent snow on monday. QPF over 2 inches across most of state storm total
  23. HKY1894
    18z FV3 is another QPF bomb
  24. HKY1894
    QPF looks better on 18z gfs, One positive trend on both NAM and old GFS at 18z
  25. HKY1894
    NAM has been garbage in the Midwest at 60 hour leads for now I think it should be discounted. I believe the warm nose will affect clt but the way it drives it all the way to the escapement basically I’m not buying right now. .
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