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HKY1894

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Everything posted by HKY1894

  1. HKY1894
    .
  2. HKY1894
    I feel like this is following how every winter storm goes, weigh climo heavily is smart decision for now. The euro thermal profile on op run was concerning at 12z but the ensemble looks better. I’m in the northwestern foothills and I’m not comfortable right now with temps. Feel like we could be looking at ZR even here. FV3 is dream run .
  3. HKY1894
    Yeah only if it were 24hrs out. Would be one of the all time greats here [emoji23] .
  4. HKY1894
    Yes I find it interesting that FV3 along with Euro and ukmet all have phase on 00z runs. Euro and ukmet have always been more reliable imo vs old gfs, this storm will be interesting test of new gfs. Honestly feel like euro and FV3 weren’t all that different at 0z. Somebody’s gonna get a massive snowstorm if this solution is close. Maybe mid Atlantic though .
  5. HKY1894
    I’m near lenoir wish I could lock this run in. So much timing with northern stream phase though nino climo heavily favors my area though so I’m confident in at least some form of wintry precip on front end at least .
  6. HKY1894
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  7. HKY1894
    FV3 is a crushing for all of WNC lots of ice farther east. Tons of QPF .
  8. HKY1894
    FV3 looks similar to 18z at 500mb out to 120 Southern Vort stronger. Taller ridge in pna region but nothing way different yet .
  9. HKY1894
    Gfs euro and FV3 gfs all show a major to almost historic storm for some part of carolinas although it’s 7 days out and will change this is one of strongest signals I’ve ever seen from so far out. Impressive .
  10. HKY1894
    COLD AND DRYI LOVE IT
  11. HKY1894
    QPF totals from gfs? I’m too busy to look at work
  12. HKY1894
    Big increase in QPF from 12z ukie compared last nights 00z run
  13. HKY1894
    This model has been so consistent for at least 3 days now
  14. HKY1894
    Ukie not quite as good as 12z yesterday. But much better than 0z. Trending back towards a good storm for WNC possible up into VA
  15. HKY1894
    It’s so odd how the NAVGEM is so amped up and has been for days. It’s notoriously a progressive model
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