HKY1894
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Everything posted by HKY1894
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GFS v16 snow amounts differ greatly from current operational gfs. Will be interested to compare results.
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18z GFSV16 continues to advertise snow event for mountains and foothills on Monday. Still tons of uncertainty with the system. The EPS doesn’t agree with the 12z euro op run. Definitely a legitimate threat.
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Nam is an absolute crushjob wow
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Massive winter storm on euro again on 0z run
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The EPS and GEFS look spectacular in extended and it is moving up in time. At the time stamp you posted it’s almost a textbook Miller A composite!
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0z CMC
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We will be looking at multiple winter storm chances coming up soon. One of best NAO blocks I’ve ever seen depicted
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Long range getting more interesting. If blocking retrogrades back to where euro has it positioned it’s gonna get interesting. Euro and its ensembles also hinting a PNA spike near next weekend.
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NAM is lights out along escarpment in NW NC
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Looking good headed into first couple weeks of January. Think we will have chances to score big. Much improved from last winter
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Northern mountains looking good for midweek system. Gut feeling but this has consistently trended better today.
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.........December 09 miller b style?
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12z euro is interesting. Gfs is much different, if something like euro occurs I could see this trending better for climo favored areas in western part of NC. Blocking and hp to the north is classic cad setup
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Thinking about chasing this up at beech, what times does it look to start? Trying to figure out when to get up there
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Snowing lightly in boone starting to accumulate slowy 18z gfs is very interesting for this weekend, shows changeover to heavy snow as upper low moves over
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All gonna come down to warm nose. Wouldn’t trust the globals fully. But the euro and FV3 consistency has been impressive .
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FV3 snow map is unbelievable especially the consistency over this week .
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If FV3 euro CMC and UK all blow the QPF forecast this badly I’ll be surprised this thing is juiced .
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Slightly looks like CLT has 3 inch qpf probably 2.4+ everywhere else .
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00z FV3 big again
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Canadian is massive hit, especially for mountains and western piedmont
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QPF seems to be on an upward trend since last nights 0z run on many models specfically on FV3 and euro
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mother of god
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http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/ It's just under gfs like normal its the eval page though so it's FV3
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From the ncep maps for FV3 looks like the northern stream closed low drops decent snow on monday. QPF over 2 inches across most of state storm total
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