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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
  2. mikem81
    Some call the SE ridge...
  3. mikem81
    UKMET also just cut precip in half...
  4. mikem81
    The fact that these 2 maps are showing this discrepancy (look at DC area) this close is pretty concerning...
  5. mikem81
    V16 Regular
  6. mikem81
    RGEM has both....most precip from NAM and RGEM are between 12Z and an 20Z tomorrow.
  7. mikem81
    NAM is the most north of the models.. GFS actually misses up to the south until the coastal takes over Thursday night.
  8. mikem81
    GFS basically a miss with part 1....
  9. mikem81
    In my mind the sleet comes in as precip goes from heavy to lighter. If we sleet it means we got a good front end thump right before.
  10. mikem81
    I think its more dependent on where the first shot of precip sets up
  11. mikem81
  12. mikem81
    RGEM looks solid
  13. mikem81
    Regular GFS
  14. mikem81
    Here is GFSv16
  15. mikem81
    I would say Hi Res NAM is last at this point in time....
  16. mikem81
    In December Ocean Temps were 15 degrees warmer......Big difference this time of year
  17. mikem81
    It looks really good. still snowing at end of run and much colder..
  18. mikem81
    My point is with sleet close by we need to use both maps!! We are on the same team... Routing for snow..
  19. mikem81
    Please don't use 10:1 maps (although Kuchera on the NAM run is similiar
  20. mikem81
    No blocking. Dont see why this wont cut completely like Tuesday will....
  21. mikem81
    For the City and immediate burbs
  22. mikem81
    EURO all rain
  23. mikem81
    Agreed. The models have a new piece of energy Monday which prevents the trough from digging and keeps the artic boundary north as well and the Tuesday storm starts out too far north....
  24. mikem81
    Its not Snow....Better track offshre but something is forcing a lot of warming aloft...
  25. mikem81
    I believe the fact that models have picked up on an additional wave of precip for Monday has forced the trough to get stuck to the west of the area and keeps upper levels warm. The HP in canda still brings in colder air at the surface but not until Tuesday (as the very weak LP monday Monday ends up in the Lakes region and keep the flow aloft out of the SW).
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