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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    No blocking. Dont see why this wont cut completely like Tuesday will....
  2. mikem81
    For the City and immediate burbs
  3. mikem81
    EURO all rain
  4. mikem81
    Agreed. The models have a new piece of energy Monday which prevents the trough from digging and keeps the artic boundary north as well and the Tuesday storm starts out too far north....
  5. mikem81
    Its not Snow....Better track offshre but something is forcing a lot of warming aloft...
  6. mikem81
    I believe the fact that models have picked up on an additional wave of precip for Monday has forced the trough to get stuck to the west of the area and keeps upper levels warm. The HP in canda still brings in colder air at the surface but not until Tuesday (as the very weak LP monday Monday ends up in the Lakes region and keep the flow aloft out of the SW).
  7. mikem81
    Difficult to comprehend what the models are spiting out. A weak LP is basically cutting into an artic banana high
  8. mikem81
  9. mikem81
    GFS is ugly. lots of FRZRN
  10. mikem81
    Impossible to tell what is going to do from there. It actually has 850's that are not to warm could be a secondary ready to develop (plus the NAM is always amped at 84).. The RGEM does it own thing with light precip basically coming in much earlier monday
  11. mikem81
    HP is much better placement (due north not exiting NE) and the LP dont have some members going into CHicago (western extent is Ohio)
  12. mikem81
    Much better placement than yesterday's 12Z run.. Yesterday Today
  13. mikem81
    Need the primary low to die off a bit sooner...
  14. mikem81
    Its a miller B so way different than a miller A. We have one LP going up into the Lakes region which causes upper levels to warm..
  15. mikem81
    It separates the waves. First one Monday is flat; then a big miller B tuesday-Wed .. Icy
  16. mikem81
    Probably someone measuring snowpack as opposed to last night's snow. Im in Nassau and we got between 2-3 inches in my area last night. Fluffy and easy to measure. No way there was a 4.5 and definitely not a 7 up in CT
  17. mikem81
  18. mikem81
    The early week storm next week is complex given the PV positioning and SE ridge and impacts on track for 850 and 2m temps. Look at ensembles instead of OP runs for now...
  19. mikem81
    Gotta love the 4.5 on Nassau and 7 inch report in CT. some crazy rulers people have
  20. mikem81
    GFS slightly more amped which means little less snow and more sleet this run...
  21. mikem81
    The EURO has been overamped at 120-144 hours all winter. Its ben trending SE the last 3 runs
  22. mikem81
    Would not take much to push those amounts up by 50 miles into the NYC/LI area... I assume the precip will also be north of modeling
  23. mikem81
    Ill take this look from the GEFS for now
  24. mikem81
    This busted big time for anyone south of 287 (maybe even 84)
  25. mikem81
    EURO not much precip until you get up north of Tappan Zee
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