mikem81
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Everything posted by mikem81
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
THANK YOU! SOMETHING ON TOPIC -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sorry for an ON TOPIC post, but 18Z EURO looks better (through 7pm Thurs only) -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Is this the thread for this storm or historical events? -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
After decreasing from 1.25-1/35 QPF from last night's runs to around .65-.7; on the 18Z, you gotta think the NAM trends back North just a bit at 0Z?? -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Less and Less Precip every run so far today... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some call the SE ridge... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
UKMET also just cut precip in half... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The fact that these 2 maps are showing this discrepancy (look at DC area) this close is pretty concerning... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
V16 Regular -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
RGEM has both....most precip from NAM and RGEM are between 12Z and an 20Z tomorrow. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NAM is the most north of the models.. GFS actually misses up to the south until the coastal takes over Thursday night. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
GFS basically a miss with part 1.... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
In my mind the sleet comes in as precip goes from heavy to lighter. If we sleet it means we got a good front end thump right before. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think its more dependent on where the first shot of precip sets up -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
RGEM looks solid -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Regular GFS -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Here is GFSv16 -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I would say Hi Res NAM is last at this point in time.... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
In December Ocean Temps were 15 degrees warmer......Big difference this time of year -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It looks really good. still snowing at end of run and much colder.. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
My point is with sleet close by we need to use both maps!! We are on the same team... Routing for snow.. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Please don't use 10:1 maps (although Kuchera on the NAM run is similiar
