LibertyBell

wow hasnt happened since Nov 1989.....

I'm halfway between ABE and MPO.

we're going to be screwed if we get a big windy noreaster this winter a la Dec 1992. I'm actually surprised my power hasn't gone out during a big windy snowstorm- that would be really bad (no heat). I think our windiest snowstorms were Boxing Day 2010, Jan 2016 and Jan 2017.

Yeah that was happening here even after the squall line came through. Estimated between 50-60 mph. All quiet on the western front now lol

Looks like thats the highest from the local airports so far

any wind reports out of that area (HZL or ABE)?

what happened to that line coming out of Carbon and Monroe counties?

Yeah thats why my house is shaking- Warnings out for Pike, Carbon and Monroe Counties.

Glad I stayed here tonight Severe Thunderstorm Warning just issued for here

at 2000 ft just north of you, had heavy rain for about an hour during the day but some really heavy rain tonight and the house is shaking and the winds rattling tonight- it sounds like a jet engine outside! wild! I decided to stay in NE PA tonight and go to LI tomorrow because it was dark and foreboding all day. 30 min? It must be over 50 here near Albrightsville! Severe Thunderstorm Warning just issued!

I decided to stay in NE PA because it was rather dark all afternoon and come back to LI tomorrow, there was about an hour of heavy rain and then a break and now it's really raining hard and extremely windy, my windows are rattling and I can feel the house shaking. Pretty wild out here.

I love it! Early call on Thanksgiving weekend- sunny and 70s?

Walt what kind of wind gusts were reported near ABE?

Chris, how warm does it need to get for a monthly average to be the warmest November of the decade? 52.8? Do you think we can do it?

It's noteworthy that we didn't have a single November (monthly average I'm assuming, not just the first two weeks?) above 48 F since 2010.

Must also remember this is the Spring Tide "King" Tide event, the last of the year and we have coastal flood advisories in effect for that too. That would be there regardless of the oncoming weather.

Looks like I'm leaving just ahead of it. Getting out at 1 PM will be up near Mt Pocono on I-80 around 2 PM should get into Long Island between 4 and 5. Looks like NE PA will be getting hit around 6 PM so I'll be on LI by then.

So we have records on both sides of the country from 1999.....interesting.

Also, I'm going to be driving at around 1 PM from NE PA thru NJ and NYC and into SW LI getting there around sunset or shortly thereafter. Will the winds in NE PA and W NJ not be as strong? And as far as the strongest winds and heaviest rain is concerned for NYC and SW LI, would that be a few hours after sunset, somewhere between 7 PM and 10 PM?

Oh okay, I was figuring if the heaviest rains lasted for 30 min we'd have 0.75 right there and have another half inch scattered outside of that 30 min interval.

Walt sounds like rainfall will be between 1-2 inches total like it was with the last event except that was over 3 days this will be over 30 min? We now have a WA between 1 pm and Midnight

Wow Islip had over 40 inches for every one of those 9 years except for the horrible 11-12 and 16-17 in which they barely missed it by less than an inch. 5 out 9 (almost 6) with over 50"+ and 3 out 9 with over 60"!

On the opposite end of the spectrum we cant ignore what the 2010s has given us which is 5 straight 30"+ snowfall seasons between 13-14 and 17-18 (includes two straight of 50"+ in 13-14 and 14-15) which was almost 6 straight 30"+ seasons (if you include 12-13, which fell 4" short at NYC but was much more across LI thanks to Feb 2013.). I went even further back and found that we had 9 out of 10 snowfall seasons with 26" or more between 08-09 and 17-18 (with 7 of those seasons above 30" and two back to backs of 50"+ 09-10 to 10-11 and 13-14 to 14-15)....only rudely interrupted by 2011-12 (which still had the historic October snowstorm.) And going even further back we have the period from 00-01 to 17-18 with 14 out of 18 with 26 inches of snow or more, including 12 with 30" or more and the aforementioned 2 back to backs with 50"+ and 4 straight of 40"+ , which also includes 9 out of 16 with 40"+ between 02-03 and 17-18 and 8 out of 13 of 40"+ between 02-03 and 14-15!) https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf

No 30" snowfall seasons from 1978-79 to 1992-93 (15 straight years!) must also be unprecedented.

number 1 most likely T for DJF (almost did it in 97-98) hands down. Um I've having a tough time trying to decide between 50" single storm and 10" in one hour, they both seem highly unlikely but I guess it can happen since Nemo Feb 2013 came close to both of those numbers in parts of CT and LI? At any rate at least I've seen 30" in one storm (Jonas Jan 2016.) I'll add another couple, what about 100" total snowfall for the year and 60" in one month (averaging 2" per day over a 30 day month). 100" total snowfall for a 12 month period I think we either did it or came close if you go from Dec 09 to Dec 10 and maybe also Dec 02 to Dec 03? 60" over a 30 day period we might have come close (parts of LI definitely did it) between Dec 10 and Jan 11? That was the snowiest stretch as well as the longest duration snowcover I've ever experienced on the south shore (from the day after Christmas to Valentine's Day!) That winter truly turned on a dime, before Boxing Day we were talking about a paltry winter because of the La Nina which was moderate to strong and by the end of that period we were using analogs from the 1910s which was the last time NYC had such a snowy and cold moderate to strong La Nina and also the last time NYC had back to back 50"+ snowfall seasons (1916-17 and 1917-18) until 2009-10 and 2010-11. It could have been our snowiest winter of all time if the party didn't abruptly stop in February lol. Very similar to 1960-61 in that respect. And then we had another 50"+ consecutive snowfall seasons in 13-14 and 14-15 (which makes the 2010s decade truly amazing- even moreso than the 4 straight 40"+ snowfall seasons from 02-03 to 05-06). Feb/Mar backend in 2014-15 was also amazing, similar to what we got in 1966-67.