LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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been pretty cloudy the last 2 days
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and nothing for anywhere in the Poconos, like Lake Harmony or Albrightsville?
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
car companies are on board to be fully renewable within 10-15 years and on top of that even China has committed to being carbon neutral by 2060. And that's the last one to the party. -
Thanks Don, do you have data from Mt Pocono for May 9-10, 2020 also, to compare to 1977 on the same dates? I think it was around 2" but not sure.
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Another idea I had was maybe we could do a weighed average? Keep the 30 year average but weigh the last 10 years twice as much as the 20 years prior.....that would give priority to the changing climate.
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Looks like we might have sustained warmth starting in the first week of May, so not far away.
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Maybe JFK will reach 70 also!
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I take it we didn't get anything from the follow up and it went to our west? I was in NE PA and it was such a wintry system, woke up on Saturday morning, the 10th, with temps in the teens and wind chills near 0 and snow squalls all day long which were accumulating when it snowed hard during the day! May 10th! I dont know if you have any records for this Don, but do you have any numbers for the May 9-10, 1977 snowstorm in the Mount Pocono and Lake Harmony area (both are above 2,000 ft.)
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this makes me think we should keep climate normals for 10 years instead of 30, to account for the quicker changes we are now having
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Chris will that coastal over the weekend also cause snow in the mountains?
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hey Detroit's 0.5 last year was around the same time we had snow last May! same system?
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even more surprising would be accumulating snow for both KC and St Louis!
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ah okay, it doesn't feel that warm because we have had no 80s (and barely any 70s and low 70s at that) and I've had the heat on every day. The min thing always taints the average, it never feels that warm unless the high temp is 70+ on a consistent basis.
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wow Walt, total precip (combo of rain and snow was 0.32"). Thanks for the 1.0" snow figure, I wonder if that will be it for the season or more is coming up.
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actually three weeks since I still have some great snow pics from Feb 21-22
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I think we should measure summers by number of 90 degree days. 100 degree days just aren't frequent enough.....although I do measure heat by a combo of both 90 degree and 100 degree days, so for a summer to be historic by my definition it has to have at least 30 90 degree days and at least 1 100 degree day.
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NWS is predicting a hot May-June-July (60%+ chance). One thing that may throw a monkey wrench into the works is this volcanic eruption in the Caribbean which released a lot of SO2 which is now starting to encircle the globe. Though the question is, how much is the lag with this and how strong will the effect be? It might be more of an influence on the winter time pattern rather than the upcoming summer.
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Looks like the accumulating snow will make it to KC, Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland and Buffalo? What about the NE PA mountains Don? Lows in the 20s are being predicted there. Also with all this cold around all month how will we get an above normal month?
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Don, this has been one of the colder Aprils, I've had my heat on all month and it looks like more cold is coming. Isn't it going to be difficult to have an above normal month?
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I see, so 30s for lows Thursday and again Monday and Tuesday morning after that is more likely than 80s for the 28th and 29th?
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Some of our most memorable severe wx outbreaks have happened in October and November
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Don looks like 30s for lows and 50s for highs on Thursday and then again the following Sunday and Monday? What do you think of the two days in the mid 80s predicted on the 28th and 29th?
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Wow it's good that this will recurve and not make a direct hit there, otherwise this would be another Haiyan.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
it's already been documented that region isn't experiencing it like the rest of the CONUS is and there are reasons for it (arctic shots being directed that way instead of further east, something we've seen over the last few decades.) -
wow thats a weird reversal compared to Long Island, we had an inch of rain followed by a foot of heavy wind driven snow that even stuck to the sides of buildings lol
