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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
the reverse sea breeze- 475 replies
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snowfall has a much higher variance.
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it's only December that's +5. And although there is usually only one big storm, you also usually get 2-3 moderate storms.
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yeah worried about power outages, 1" of ice is historic
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high resolution garbage in still = high resolution garbage out; ie. errors in those high res details, such as convective parameterizations, reach many of the members which all have the same physics and then amplify) this definitely explains that one 00z model suite when all the models got on board all at the same time... there must have been some bad high resolution data that was in that entire suite.
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But the snowy la ninas are more snowy than snowy el ninos because a snowy la nina has more of a potential to be a beginning to end snowy winter. the really snowy el ninos, like 02-03 also have a lot of snow in December, so that is one of the few beginning to end snowy el nino winters.
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26 inches at JFK and our second best winter in my lifetime after 1995-96, both finished with a bang with a snowstorm in April!
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our second double digit snowstorm of our most historic winter, the big return after the January thaw.
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this had to have caused a lot of damage like the flooding we had in the rainstorm after the January 1996 blizzard 1899 - Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
a very underrated snowstorm, the second double digit snowfall of that very memorable winter- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
our longest duration snowcover, beat the record from 1947-48- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
wow this sounds like it would be absolutely catastrophic-- like our rainstorm after January 1996 caused roofs to collapse 1899 - Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I remember 2-2-11 had ice on top of a big snowpack-- that snowpack lasted through Valentines Day that year!! I remember that VD 2007 storm was similar to January 1994 in that the temperatures rose above freezing once east of Freeport but for us in SW Nassau both storms kept temps at 31 or under throughout the storm.- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Did our area have its lowest recorded SSTs in February 2015? I remember back then it was reported our SST were only a degree or two above freezing.- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
those same places might get a snowstorm on Thursday lol- 475 replies
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That was snowier than this winter just because of that one week in the middle of February when we had a 4 incher and a 6 incher here. JFK total of 12.8 that winter, so far 11.1 this winter.
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If our winters temporarily get colder like this one did then you'll know this is right. Not to the magnitude of what happened in the 70s and 80s but not as mild as the last few have been. 1981-82 was like an ice age winter..... crazy that we lived through April 1982, that will be very difficult to replicate.