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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    hot and dry is great running weather
  2. LibertyBell
    high resolution garbage in still = high resolution garbage out; ie. errors in those high res details, such as convective parameterizations, reach many of the members which all have the same physics and then amplify) this definitely explains that one 00z model suite when all the models got on board all at the same time... there must have been some bad high resolution data that was in that entire suite.
  3. LibertyBell
    But the snowy la ninas are more snowy than snowy el ninos because a snowy la nina has more of a potential to be a beginning to end snowy winter. the really snowy el ninos, like 02-03 also have a lot of snow in December, so that is one of the few beginning to end snowy el nino winters.
  4. LibertyBell
    26 inches at JFK and our second best winter in my lifetime after 1995-96, both finished with a bang with a snowstorm in April!
  5. LibertyBell
    our second double digit snowstorm of our most historic winter, the big return after the January thaw.
  6. LibertyBell
    this had to have caused a lot of damage like the flooding we had in the rainstorm after the January 1996 blizzard 1899 - Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
  7. LibertyBell
    a very underrated snowstorm, the second double digit snowfall of that very memorable winter
  8. LibertyBell
    our longest duration snowcover, beat the record from 1947-48
  9. LibertyBell
    wow this sounds like it would be absolutely catastrophic-- like our rainstorm after January 1996 caused roofs to collapse 1899 - Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
  10. LibertyBell
    what happened to that last snow event at the end of February lol
  11. LibertyBell
    2009-2010? That was an absolutely amazing winter even with the miss in early February, NYC set its new record for monthly snowfall with 36.0 broken in January 2011 with 36.9. We also had the 15 inch snowstorm here in December 2009.
  12. LibertyBell
    snow never verifies that far out but you know warmth will
  13. LibertyBell
    I remember 2-2-11 had ice on top of a big snowpack-- that snowpack lasted through Valentines Day that year!! I remember that VD 2007 storm was similar to January 1994 in that the temperatures rose above freezing once east of Freeport but for us in SW Nassau both storms kept temps at 31 or under throughout the storm.
  14. LibertyBell
    that snow was very memorable too, my favorite early season snowstorm
  15. LibertyBell
    Did our area have its lowest recorded SSTs in February 2015? I remember back then it was reported our SST were only a degree or two above freezing.
  16. LibertyBell
    those same places might get a snowstorm on Thursday lol
  17. LibertyBell
    That was snowier than this winter just because of that one week in the middle of February when we had a 4 incher and a 6 incher here. JFK total of 12.8 that winter, so far 11.1 this winter.
  18. LibertyBell
    If our winters temporarily get colder like this one did then you'll know this is right. Not to the magnitude of what happened in the 70s and 80s but not as mild as the last few have been. 1981-82 was like an ice age winter..... crazy that we lived through April 1982, that will be very difficult to replicate.
  19. LibertyBell
    Yes! Freezing drizzle in February 2015 on an onshore breeze!
  20. LibertyBell
    Kind of reminds me of February 2015 when even Montauk was getting freezing drizzle on a southeasterly wind lol
  21. LibertyBell
    I thought 2010-11 was all snow, did we have an ice storm that winter? The February 2011 event maybe-- the one which gave Chicago a blizzard? I wish the NWS kept track of ice accumulations/accretions, that January 1994 event had to be one of our biggest ever, we had close to 2 inches of ice on everything here in SW Nassau County, JFK, never made it to freezing or above. Is there an ice total from that storm for JFK? And that was freezing rain on top of sleet on top of snow! I think we had a major ice storm back in 1973 also but don't remember anything about it.
  22. LibertyBell
    we need another strong el nino
  23. LibertyBell
    April 1982 and February 1983 were my first real snowstorm memories and I remember having snow up to my knees and wondering if this is what a real snowstorm is like lol.
  24. LibertyBell
    Yeah on the WINTER SEVERITY INDEX, this is considered an average winter for us (temperature, snowcover, snowfall are all factored in).
  25. LibertyBell
    Yeah, I'm not saying it's too warm to snow, I'm saying that a long term pattern of months of cold weather isn't conducive to large snowstorms. To get large snowstorms you also need thaws in between which lets the pattern reload otherwise the same thing keeps happening over and over.
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