Yeah I outlined that bust in my previous post. I was so angry about that bust that I nearly punched a hole through my bedroom door back then lol. I wonder if there's a way to find out if Feb 1989 and Dec 1989 storms would still be busts today with our modern models but using the data from back in the days leading up to those notorious busts?
Feb 1989- suppressed more than modeled....8 inches predicted nothing delivered, hours of virga while ACY got 20 inches
Dec 1989- secondary intensified too close to the coast......8 inches predicted nothing delivered after initially starting as snow, turned to rain with thunder
Apr 1997- intensified too far north..... 16 inches predicted, 1-2 inches delivered, mostly rain
Mar 2001- intensified too far north.....2-3 feet predicted, mostly rain, 4-6 inches delivered on the back end
Jan 2008- our last heavy snow warning.....8 inches predicted, mostly rain with a coating of snow here on Long Island
Jan 2015- intensified too far east...... 2-3 feet predicted, about a foot of snow actually fell (got reprieved exactly a year later.)