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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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I like mine better lol, I think NW NJ should be considered part of our zone. Officially the NYC metropolitan area is considered thusly: Okay maybe a combo of the two lol
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March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly
LibertyBell replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
High heat low dewpoint fan -
Do you think this will be a big blow to the warm March forecasts and especially the forecasts that the second half of March would be warmer compared to normal than the first half?
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No I would put mindbending sanctions on ANY nations that were still producing fossil fuels by then, to the point where it would no longer be profitable. Profits are the only language these companies and countries understand.
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March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly
LibertyBell replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Not a beach guy I take it lol -
March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly
LibertyBell replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
thats awesome lol. Someone posted stats about hot summers making snowy winters more likely though. -
There's been a really obvious change in climate between the 80s and now....it's going to be positively frightening on this planet by 2030, let alone the 2040 they mentioned in that report. The positive thing is that most oil rigs will be underwater and unusable by then so at least we'll be completely done with that menace and the fossil fuel cartel will be completely bankrupt by then and more states will have seen the light and banned fracking like NY has. Fracking has also been banned on a regional scale in NE PA too and the Delaware River basin in PA and NJ. More and more are seeing the light
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You're right, the "real" snowfall across the 5 boroughs was between 20-25 inches south to north and west to east.
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It's interesting how none of the pre 21st century winters averaged 40 or above besides 1931-32....what an aberration that winter was, what do you think the average winter temperature of that winter would be if it occurred now? Also interesting that the top 5 winters are all spaced 0.5 apart from one to the next while the ones behind them are more tightly clustered. I would put 2001-02 in a class all by itself, our mildest winter combining both snowfall totals or lack thereof lol and warm temperatures. It beats out 1997-98 in my book. It would've been closer if the late March rogue storm hadn't happened in 1997-98 but I think 2001-02 still would've won because of the milder temps and still very low snowfall totals. I think the LGA and JFK snowfall totals pre late March snowfall in 1997-98 were closer to what we saw in those places in 2001-02? WSI has 2001-02 lapping the field for lowest WSI by a mile.
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Chris how long should that cold Mid March period last before we get back into a warmer pattern?
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I'm looking through that ACY list to see which of their top winters had much less snow here and they were all blockbuster snowfall winters for us except for 1979 (because of the original Presidents' Day snowstorm I presume?), 1986-87 (right in the middle of the 80s snow drought, impressive!), and of course this winter. It's amazing that 1978-79 was even more snowy at ACY than 1977-78 was! 1978-79 stands out as the largest aberration, followed by this winter. It's also interesting to see 1988-89 on this list for BGM as that also bears similarities to this winter....did ACY also have a lot of snow that year, I remember the big February bust where they got over a foot of snow and we got a foot of virga lol.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
New IPCC report is out https://twitter.com/i/events/1498348282447282181 and it's looking like things are a lot worse than we thought and happening faster than expected. -
They have one for the elements too
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Chris what was the average temp for the entire winter? 39.5?
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LGA and JFK are far more representative of New York City snowfall impacts (and it's where people live). NYC is representative of office buildings. Can you post ACY numbers and norms too, Chris? It would be a useful comparison.
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Forget Boston.... Atlantic City took us to the woodshed! Chris should list their snowfall amt and averages too.
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fwiw this winter was better than any of those....first of all NYC undermeasured snow this season and secondly most people live near either JFK or LGA and both saw more snow (over 20 inches) and both saw double digits snowstorms as their biggest events. NYC was the outlier.
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Tempwise I remember it was stated that for the coldest 90 day period of the year, it's really the end of the first week of December to the end of the first week of March.
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Technically you're right about climate zones. On my seed planting guide, our subforum covers three climate/planting zones.
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No I didn't say they shouldn't be part of our subforum, I just said their climate is like SIBERIA compared to what I'm used to lol. You might be right about Upton's forecast zone, I didn't even know where that extends to, but I always thought the CWA extended from Poughkeepsie to Monticello to Trenton to Toms River to Montauk to Groton to Danbury and back to Poughkeepsie. Basically the polygon made by connecting all those citys' airports. Is that approximately what it is?
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I had that when I was in 7th grade I was in the hospital for 3 weeks lol
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I think this is the way the ancients (and even some modern people) memorize historical texts and epic sagas. They were passed down through history in oral form. I've always been fascinated at how the Iliad and Odyssey were memorized by some and even the Bible and Koran. Now that requires some powerful brain usage. I remember earlier this year I was on the train and I didn't have access to a writing device and for some odd reason I started to form a rhyme in my head and since I couldn't write it down, I committed it to memory. It wasn't that long (about 20 lines) but I used the cadence of the syllables subconsciously to memorize it (I just realized this now that you mentioned this.....fascinating how our minds work!) And isn't it amazing that we remember this stuff all these years later? How old were you when you memorized pi? Long term memory always amazes me.
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what about some random 2-4" event between March 15-22 which seems to often happen even in mediocre patterns? Or do you think March will be a total shut out (there aren't many of those.) It's very hard to get a 6" plus snowstorm without a great pattern after March 15th, but a 4" event can happen in such a pattern all the way thru the first 10 days of April.
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lol a lot of us (including you might I add) post in the New England forum.
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omg you're right! it almost sounds like a song. It's the way I did it, without consciously realizing how I did it. Did you get past 100? I always wanted to do it to 100 digits (I stopped at 50 since that was the challenge my friend gave), I might tackle that while I'm still youn....errr middle aged lol (48 now.) I didn't do e or the golden ratio, might as well try that too. But pi to 100 is my priority lol. I think I can do it because I also did the chemical elements (there were 109 at that time). You should try that too, I found that my fascination with the periodic table made it easier for me because I already knew the order of several groups (like the Lanthanides and the Actinides.)