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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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only big difference besides the temperatures was no big snowstorm in the SE, that also probably had to do with the warmer climate
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
and there's not even any trees out there... -
if it snows during December in an el nino you know it's going to be a good winter like 2002-03
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Wow this is absolutely amazing, Chris, thanks for all this info! They must have been in operation in 2011 because they have the highest temp on record (108) from that year? Did they shut down after 2011? I remember December 1989 very well, it was colder than many Januarys but mostly snowless. I take it Mineola's below zero history is close to JFK's? Nowhere near as extreme as KFOK?
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
lets see if this follows the pattern of 2002.... -
Back in 2020, I saw something I'll never forget. I was in the Poconos for Presidents Day weekend in February and on Monday I was packing up the car to drive home and it was an extremely warm day just like today (maybe even warmer than today), crystal clear sky, no winds, very warm, etc. For some reason I looked straight up at the zenith of the sky and saw a very strange sight-- a small spherical rainbow that was completely reversed in a clear blue sky (wth......) in a normal rainbow red is the color on top and blue is at the bottom, but in this case, blue was on top and red was on the bottom, and it was directly overhead and there wasn't a single cloud in the sky. So very strange and yet it was a sign.... Driving on I-80 on the way home passing through the Delaware Water Gap in western NJ I saw my first wildfire-- a fire was burning on the side of the mountain right next to the highway and just above it. It was both a scary and an exciting sight to see my first wildfire-- just like it was when I experienced my first earthquake back in August 2011. I remember I checked the news as soon as I got back here and read that there had been an 80 acre fire. What I had seen was the beginning of it. This was the earliest I had ever heard of a wildfire in our area and 2019-2020 had very little snow (the most memorable snow that year was in May lol) and now I'm wondering if seeing that tiny spherical reversed rainbow in a completely clear sky was some sort of sign that there would be a wildfire there that very strange day.
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we already have wildfires going on in Texas with temps in the 90s and a state of emergency and the smoke from those fires has made it up to us now as was noted in the evening news broadcasts.
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The people who mentioned the danger of wildfires happening again this year are correct, we already have our first smoke in the air, there are widespread wildfires in Texas right now (no surprise with temperatures in the 90s) and a state of emergency there and the smoke from there is making its way up here now.
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The problem with mean temperature is it also includes high minimums which are much more an indication of humidity rather than actual heat.
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Higher humidity levels are also influenced by farming practices. What I've read about the midwest is that the evapotranspiration rates are much higher now because of so many of these large fields full of corn, it was documented to have a large impact in very extreme summers like the summer of 1995. Around here you need a westerly wind to hit triple digits, the ocean influence is too much with southerly and even southwesterly winds.
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This is absolutely amazing,thanks so much Chris, it looks like Mineola is neck and neck with Newark in most summers! Does Mineola data go back to the early 90s and if so, was that their previous summer of record in terms of 90 and 100 degree days? It's amazing to get 52 days over 90 and 6 days over 100 Long Island has so many fascinating microclimates!
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wow thanks this is great info, Mineola was as hot as Newark at peak heat in 2011 and had just as many 100 degree days in 2010.... Chris, how many 90 degree days did Mineola have in 2010 and is it their all time record? How far back does the data go there, was 1993 their previous hottest summer (number of 90 and 100 degree days) before 2010? And do you think the position of the Bermuda High is cyclical and we'll eventually go back to those kinds of summers again?
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also that's really far inland, where we live near the coast we've trended towards summers with a strong coastal breeze off the ocean which has kept us from having as many 90 and 100 degree days as we did back then.
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Oh you're going by average temperature, which includes the minimum. For summer heat, I go by number of 90 degree days and number of 100 degree days, not average temperatures. When the min is high it means it's usually either cloudy or very humid or both and when it's more humid during the day and of course when it's cloudy, the temperature rises more slowly.
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It could be, but I've also noticed the temperatures rise a lot more quickly when there's a drought. The last notable drought I remember was in 2002, which was a very hot summer, starting with that big three day heatwave in April, the grass was yellow to brown all summer.
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nice..... how close were 2010 and 2011 to this? I think they had a few 100 degree days too, I know JFK had 3 in 2010 and 2 in 2011
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the heat of March 2016 really stands out wow
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1993 was eventually superseded by 2010 which became our new hottest summer on record, but we haven't had as many 90 degree days since then-- although we did have a peak heat hotter in 2011. I don't see that being broken any time soon because we simply get too much rain in the summer now to match that kind of heat. We need a drought here to get over 100.
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Baseball season will start in less than a month
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wow mid 70s on this date in 1997 and then the April Fools Day snowstorm more than a month later lol
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why are we getting this cold blast when it was supposed to be nice and mild from here on out?
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They're all doing direct flights for the total solar eclipse too, I've read that millions of people will be traveling to see it.
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Do you remember the summer of 1993, it was our hottest summer on record up to that point. We all had numerous days above 100+, JFK had 2 in a row from what I remember, NYC had 3 in a row and EWR had 5 in a row. The 90s were the decade that had our most 90 degree days and also our most 100 degree days-- the summers of 1991, 1993, 1995 and 1999 were all extremely hot.
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if December is bad then thats a sign for not much snow for us too-- 2014-15 was the only major recent exception
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yeah it was mostly an inland winter we were on the edge of the heavier snows