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TriPol

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Everything posted by TriPol

  1. Did anyone in the NYC area just feel that earthquake?
  2. That was just something... a heavy burst of rain here... wow.
  3. I'm calling for a major snowstorm on December 5 to give CPK 12 inches.
  4. Any chance of 55 inches this year? A wet December?
  5. Any chance the volcano in iceland impacts our weather?
  6. Hopefully not a windy one. Don't want anything to happen to the parade.
  7. The GFS is on some premium quality stuff this morning:
  8. Don't we want a high pressure over the aleutians this time of year?
  9. This went way further north than originally predicted.
  10. Stick a forky in it. We’re not getting more than an inch.
  11. We've had AN Octobers for years without any snow. I need snow. Give me snow! I'm addicted to that white powdery substance in a way I can't describe! Oh wait..
  12. It's not getting any warmer than the 60s today. Low-mid 70s all week.
  13. If this rain keeps up and we continue to get below average temps, we’re in for amazing fall foliage, the likes of which hasn’t been seen in a long time. Get your cameras ready!
  14. I really enjoy the sounds of the rain at night. So quiet and peaceful.
  15. I've been involved in meteorology for decades. I have never seen a storm rapidly intensify like this. Would be interested to see SSTs after Lee has passed.
  16. If this doesn't verify, it'll be more disappointing than Viennetta ice cream.
  17. A little pocket of 31.5-32.5C water temps. Basically 90 degree water temps.
  18. I don't remember much about the preceding winters, so that can't be good.
  19. I'd wager a hefty sum that the likelihood of a landfall event in the Florida Panhandle is rather minimal, a hypothesis that I find somewhat at odds with the current projections from the National Hurricane Center. Since the case of Hurricane Charlie, Gulf-originating hurricanes to veer westward in their tracks, particularly when their initial trajectories are not aimed at Texas, Louisiana, or the Mississippi/Alabama coastline. This westward bias is often less pronounced when a robust anticyclonic system is situated over Florida, effectively serving as a protective barrier for the state's western coastline. One could argue that the NHC's forecasting methodology could benefit from a reevaluation of these recurrent patterns, especially in the context of recent advancements in ensemble forecasting and data assimilation techniques.
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