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TriPol

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Everything posted by TriPol

  1. I thought the story was that he died of natural causes.
  2. I really think it's time to stop using globals. They're not going to pinpoint everything down to the mile. GFS is great, but it's time to switch to the mesos.
  3. Maybe the ICON is being conservative.
  4. Keep this on your phone, folks. This is a once in a generation storm.
  5. I thought when the NAM showed us 20 inches last night, it was on drugs. Who knew it would be tame to what we see today??
  6. Are you going to stick around here after this storm is over?
  7. 25+? No. 20+? Yes. I'm thinking this storm is more west than east. I think that with how explosive it will be, will give 2-3 inch per hour snowfalls under some really awesome deathbands. I think from 8 pm - 8 am is our window. Say we get a few inches before that and a few inches after that. I think this breaks records.
  8. What are they going to do? Call the police? Driveways need to be clear.
  9. Why do you think the EURO is so far off-base?
  10. The Blizzard Warning goes into effect at 1 pm tomorrow.
  11. I think what's at issue here is A: How much precip falls B: How much of that preceip is frozen I've seen anywhere from 1 inch to 3.5 inches of precip over NYC.
  12. A sub 980 low on or close to the benchmark in mid-late February in NYC always delivers. Once we're talking about 18-24 inch snowstorms, 1888, 1978, 2006, 2016... they're all in the conversation.
  13. Congrats, man. You've been wanting this storm for a while. Hope you enjoy it.
  14. It's insane that a "realistic" scenario for NYC is two feet of snow. I love it.
  15. https://townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/p/weather-model-run-times.html Just so everyone has the ability to see this. It's a bit old and doesn't include the 6z and 18z times of the EURO as well as the run times of the AI versions of the GFS and EURO, but it's still somewhat helpful:
  16. That happened for Sandy too. People were in denial. We knew what was going to happen two weeks out.
  17. Dude - every model agrees with the NAM.
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