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TriPol

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Everything posted by TriPol

  1. Imagine if this gets suppressed.
  2. Upton should have stuck to their guns instead of caving to the NAM.
  3. I love this group. After about a week of debate about if it will snow, sleet, or suppress... we get snow. The largest snow of the year. And so do we want to go outside, enjoy the snow, maybe build a snowman or a snow castle... we track the sleet line. Like it's a predator hunting us. You guys are great. I'll admit I was refreshing tropical tidbits and pivotal weather for the next frame on the EURO like a madman... but you guys got me beat.
  4. Good luck to everyone who has to commute home from this mess today.
  5. God bless computer models. I'm anxious to see the results. We'll know in 12 hours who was right and who was wrong.
  6. They even use the classic weather channel elevator music. I could fall asleep to this.
  7. Guys. It's snow. Come on. Let's stop arguing. If it snows, it snows. If it doesn't, it doesn't. Arguing about it won't change what actually happens. Either Noteast101 is right or he's wrong. I hope he's wrong. I hope we transfer over to a coastal and it blasts us. If it doesn't, it doesn't. The souffle will either rise or it won't. There's not a damn thing you can do about it.
  8. I don't think NYC gets away from this without a foot of snow. I don't think we ever changeover to completely 100% sleet or freezing rain. Could we get some? Of course. But we still get snow with it. That's just my uneducated guess. When it snows, it snows HARD. All we need is six hours of 2 inches per hour.
  9. New York City 13 Boston 20 Philadelphia 0 DC 7 Hartford 16 Albany 18
  10. Thankfully the wind isn't bad. Otherwise, this would be a lot less tolerable.
  11. The storm is scheduled to start around 5 am, I believe. Definitely almost 23 hours. I guess it depends on where you live, but we're definitely around 24 hours away.
  12. HRRR is being retired when the RRFS goes live. The goal is to unify and improve upon models like HRRR, HREF, and NAM with a single, advanced system.
  13. Yeah, the Rosebud bit is poetic in theory, but let's be real—by the time you're a 78-year-old superintendent, that 4 a.m. snow check is less "childlike wonder" and more "please don't make me explain another lawsuit to the board." The grounds guy says close, you close: it's not nostalgia, it's CYA (cover your ass) wrapped in boots and a flashlight. Still, in a world of endless model runs and liability spreadsheets, there's something grimly satisfying about one last decision boiled down to "looks bad out there."
  14. I wouldn't pay attention to the GFS inside of 24 hours. HRRR is my go to at this point, although I'm pretty giddy about the RRFS coming soon.
  15. 06z HRRR is incredible for our area as far as snow and icing. It shows half an inch of ice on Long Island.
  16. 3 am thoughts: When it does snow, it's going to be the heaviest snow some of us have ever seen in our lives. Think 2" - 3" per hour snow. Literally puking snow.
  17. And endure 25 minutes of non-stop replays about the tuck rule? I think I'm good.
  18. *clears throat* It's time for the obligatory... It's nowcasting time.
  19. I wouldn't want to be a meteorologist in the NWS right now.
  20. I guess with this storm dumping sleet and freezing rain all over the country, it's just decided that it's going to do the same thing here. Fun times.
  21. I think the NWS really needs to adjust the forecast. Every single model shows mixing. The EURO shows freezing rain which is a lot worse than sleet.
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