TriPol

@NWSNewYorkNY 5:28am: We observed a 3"/hr snowfall rate between 4am-5am in the large heavy band over eastern Long Island. Our snowfall total stands at 14.9" as of 5am. Heavy snow still falling.

I'm rereading the thread and have stopped on a conversation about eating rocks daily.

I couldn't even guess. Definitely at least 6 inches. Maybe even up to a foot. Wherever those bands decide to park themselves.

I never thought the NAM and GFS would outclass the EURO. Glad people pulled the trigger.

18 inches in Freehold, NJ.

NYC is about to get obliterated.

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 341 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... There have been no changes to headlines and only some adjustments to snowfall, mainly over western portions of the Lower Hudson Valley. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Blizzard conditions will continue through the morning hours, gradually winding down in the afternoon. 2) Additional minor coastal flooding possible with the Monday afternoon high tide cycle. There is a low probability of major coastal/shoreline impacts along the south shore of western Long Island, Twin Forks of LI, and north shore of Long Island. 3) A passing warm front will bring some light snow and rain on Wednesday. A stronger low passing close by will bring additional wintry precip Thursday into Thursday night. && .DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGE 1... A major winter storm will continue to impact the area early this morning with multiple bands of heavy snow expected to pivot NW off the ocean and across the area. The next 6 hours are expected to feature some of the heaviest snowfall with hourly rates of 2 to 3 inches likely. What is a bigger challenge is exactly how far west these bands get and how long they stay over a particular location. Outside of these bands, there is subsidence and lighter snowfall. Much of the area has seen anywhere from 7 to 14 inches, but there were lower amounts across northern and western portions of the Lower Hudson Valley. We can expect another 6 to 12 inches, much of which will come the next 6 to 9 hours. The back edge across western Orange County looks like it will be on the low end, perhaps another 4 inches. Hires guidance pointing to this area to be along the back edge in the subsidence of the storm. In addition, don`t be surprised to see a brief flash of lightning in the heavy bands. There have been reports from the public as well from lightning detection. As the storm pulls away late this morning into the afternoon, bands on the backside will dissipate, but it could take some time. Hires guidance locking on to an area from eastern portions of the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT southward in the NYC/NJ metro. These bands in past historic storms can often be areas of exceptionally high rates, but can be a challenge to forecast. Any lingering snow bands should dissipate by early evening. The wind forecast has changed little with peak winds being this morning into early this afternoon. Gusts of 40 to 60 mph can be expected through the morning hours, with the upper end across far eastern LI and SE CT. Winds will then gradually ramp down through the afternoon into the evening. The good news is the airmass is not exceptionally cold with highs around freezing for most locations. Wind chills values will be in the teens to around 20.

Woke up... all I can say is... WOW.

This is Christmas to us weenies.

How do you have 8.8 at Central Park, but almost 12 inches in Battery Park?

Month of February? I think it's going to hit at least 20 from this storm.

I don't know why some people are disappointed with this storm. Everything is proceeding as I have foreseen.

Caught me completely off guard.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOyeyOEmFtE

Certainly don't want it yellow enough!

I've never actually heard of someone saying the snow isn't wet enough. SMH.

Consistency? Dude, we've barely gotten an inch or two. Leave your opinions on the storm for 12 pm tomorrow. It's depressing how negative people are.

There seems to be some sort of opinion that this storm is a bust.

Out of curiosity, what camera do you use? Your photos are always so gorgeous.

The heavy snow doesn't start until 8 or 9 pm.

NYC has a full snow day tomorrow. No remote learning.

Light-moderate snow that’s sticking to grassy surfaces here in the Bronx. It’s beautiful and I’m excited for the main event tonight. The fam and I are making indoor s’mores.

Weenie suicide

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off A potentially historic winter storm will impact the Tri-State area today into Monday. This is a dangerous situation with blizzard conditions expected to develop tonight. All guidance has converged on the evolution, track, and intensity of the system. There are some subtle differences with the global models taking a 970 mb low close to the 40N/70W benchmark by Monday morning, while the hires models are slightly farther west. The latter could be the difference for even higher snowfall amounts than currently forecast. Low pressure will quickly develop off along the North Carolina coast this morning and rapidly intensify this evening into Monday morning as it slowly lifts north-north east towards the 40N/70W benchmark. The 00Z ECMWF has come into better agreement as it has generally been on the eastern envelope of the operational guidance. This slight shift has resulted in the model QPF coming more into line with the current forecast. Forecast liquid equivalent amounts are mainly between 1.5 and 2 inches. Initially, snow ratios will start out 10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around the system. NBM snow ratios have been consistently too high through the event from start to finish. While deep-layered lift in the snow growth region (-10 to -20C) favors dendritic growth and high ratios, high winds will likely result in fracturing of the crystals, lowering rates. Putting this all together, expect 1 to 2 ft across the tri-state. This is up a few inches from the last forecast. On the higher end, the NBM (01Z) supports 23 to 30 inches across the area, due to a bit more QPF and the aforementioned higher ratios. Its 90th percentile supports close to 3 ft across much of the area. The NAMNest is also on the higher end with 2 to 3 inches of liquid equivalent. This is likely due to its more westward track. The 06Z HRRR which is similar in its track is very much in line with the current forecast. However, a reasonable worst case could put totals up to 3 ft. While the highest totals are expected along the coast, heavier bands of snow (strong frontogenetic forcing) can rotate inland and usually on the cold air side of the best forcing. These bands are ofter a challenge to forecast and often leads to localized higher amounts. Light snow, or a mix of rain and snow, will develop this morning, mainly from NYC and points west. This initially is associated with an inverted trough extending back to the NW across the lower Great Lakes. In fact, as the coastal low deepens later today, there may even be some drying out at the leading edge of the precipitation shield. It may take until this early this evening for steadier snow to arrive at the coast and then overspread the remainder of the area. The heaviest snow will occur during the overnight hours with 1-2"/hr rates and at times as high 3"+/hr. The bulk of the snow will come from 7 pm this evening to 7 am Monday. Snow this heavy combined with strong winds will result in whiteout conditions. Visibilities are expected to be below 1/4 mile for much of this time. Bands of moderate to heavy snow will continue into Monday morning within the comma head of the storm (typically to the N and W of the center of low pressure). These lingering bands will diminish as the low pulls away Monday afternoon. There is also a chance of a few lightning strikes in the heavier banding tonight into Monday morning. While not included in the forecast, it cannot be ruled out. Winds will be quite strong with this storm. Model soundings show boundary layer winds along the coast 40-60kt with decent mixing. Coastal locations can expect to see gusts up 45 to 55 mph, possibly even stronger across far eastern LI and southeast CT up to 60 or 65 mph. Inland areas will be weaker, but should see frequent gusts 35 to 45 mph. The highest winds will occur tonight into the first half of Monday. The blizzard warnings were expanded to include Orange and Putnam counties in the Lower Hudson valley due higher confidence in considerable falling snow, strong winds, and poor visibility.

I thought the story was that he died of natural causes.