TriPol

Central Park got 4.3 inches. They predicted 4 - 8 inches. Not sure how this is wrong. Other parts got less, sure, but other parts got more. Snow prediction maps are not supposed to be 100% accurate.

I think he whit 70 by Valentines Day.

If this isn't a dry slot, I don't know what is.

Winter Storm Warnings are canceled for the immediate Metro area.

More sleet than snow here in Bronx. Not as bad as March 2001, but still bad.

Congratulations to the NAM. I almost can't believe it.

NAM might have had something. If NYC gets lower than say 3 inches, we might be able say the NAM was onto something and stuck to its guns. In the alternative, if NYC gets more than 6 inches, the NAM should be put out to pasture sooner rather than later.

I'll never forget the Valentines Day Storm of 2007. I had so much hope for that. So much f'ing sleet.

6 am. 10 hours ETA. Let's do this. I'm pumped.

23 in the Bronx. About 12 hours 'til showtime.

Looks like January should start off cool with an otherwise near normal month temp and precip wise

Walt how accurate is this

Come on. It's against forum rules to quote anything Mr. G. says.

Weenie suicides incoming

They have a Polar Bear now. Need to keep him cold.

I truly wonder if we can get a death band to set up shop over us and puke snow with 1-2"/hour rates. That could push us over 10".

Gone are the days where NAM would give us an over amped solution. Now it gives us an under amped solution. You can't win with the NAM.

This isn't going to go above 6" in Central Park. It may in every other area of NYC, but in Central Park, I doubt this goes above 5 inches. We could have a raging blizzard, it won't go above 6 inches in Central Park.

It's like it's Christmas or something...

I remember the day when 1 inch of snow wouldn’t trigger a WWA from Upton.

From ChatGPT: I promise I’m not here to take over your discussion board. Even if I can analyze model data or summarize runs, I can’t replace the personality, debates, instincts, or humor that all of you bring to these threads. Could I generate posts that sound like you? Sure. But should I? Absolutely not. The whole point of a forum like this is the human interpretation of chaotic data and the excitement that comes with it. I’m a tool, not a substitute for the community. Think of me as something that can help clarify a model run or answer a question, not something that will ever replace the fun of arguing about the CMC para at 1 AM. The 18z, 384-hour GFS December special is a rite of passage. You know it’s fantasy. You know it will be gone by the next run. You know the cutoff low will become a pancake ridge by morning. And yet, there you are at 3:00 am, refreshing the panels like it’s the Super Bowl. I may be an AI, but even I recognize the sacred tradition: Long-range storms don’t have to be real to be meaningful. They just have to carry hope until the next run drops.

February 2006 would like to have a word...

I'm reminded of the December 2000 snowstorm. Different setup, but we had SSW, just like we do now.

Hats off to Jamaica for taking Melissa on the chin like that. There aren’t hundreds or thousands dead like I feared.

For as long as I live, I will never forget Melissa. What a storm!