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Everything posted by NWLinnCountyIA

  1. 2/24 Severe Potential - Southern Half of Subforum

    Well at least it looks like this system is gonna have a decent severe event in Dixie, which is better than just the snow in MN. Thing with severe wx is that I find it interesting no matter where it is. If it’s not snowing here, I really don’t care about it. Snow isn’t nearly as exciting as severe for me.
  2. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Only after it tracks straight over eastern Iowa, as per typical of cutters for the last 5+ years. STL-ORD tracks don’t exist anymore.
  3. February 2018 Discussion

    Yup. The dense fog all day here is giving things quite the dark and depressing look. I hate days like these, any time of year.
  4. While looking for another system, I happened to stumble upon this storm, which I had largely forgot about until now. I don't really remember this one in particular for whatever reason, but I guess I kinda do now. It would be nice to get a storm like this again. We haven't had a true blizzard in a really, really long time. Widespread totals of 12-15" and a strengthening low from St. Louis to Chicago. Funnily enough, storms like these seem like a relic of the past nowadays, when they used to seem at least somewhat common. https://www.weather....120809_Blizzard
  5. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    I want 1 or 2 more systems to get us over the 30" mark. Today's 1.8" surprise will help in that regard somewhat, but I'll upgrade to a B- if we can breach 30", which only requires 3" of additional snow the rest of the season, so it shouldn't be horribly difficult.
  6. Spring 2018 Discussion

    The CPC temp forecast looks fair, but not great. Wouldn’t the pretty high + anomalies translate to some sort of ridging over the SW pushing the jet up to where it kinda was for the first half of winter. That said, the look of the east coast seems good to me.
  7. I hear Hokkaido is fun this time of year, but that might be too much snow!
  8. February 2018 Discussion

    The pattern over the next week will be nice for winter standards, but I don't think we're done with winter out here yet either. I think we see a few more chances after feb 20th or so.
  9. Huh that says the Linn County area didn't measure 12" from the GHD I storm. Huh. Swore I did, maybe I measured in a drift or something, as I only measured in one spot back then...
  10. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    I'm sure you'll have a 96" storm before the winter's over. You EC guys have nothing to be jealous of here, especially given the past week is a climatological anomaly.
  11. C+ here. This last week plus the week in late December saves this from an F, since most of December and January didn’t show up. I’ve only measured a foot in the GHD I storm. Next biggest was GHD II which was 10, I think. Thing is, it seems it’s mostly our bad luck. N IL, WI, and MN all have plenty of 12” storms, but they all miss Iowa of course. It seems strengthening lows just don’t track from STL to ORD any more.
  12. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    HRRR and RAP have to be drunk out this way. There's no way we see 4" out of this. N IL on the other hand...
  13. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Yea the stuff just north of I-72 in IL definitely has a convective/squally look to it.
  14. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Picked up a nice 2.8" on the event last night. Not bad. Not bad at all. 2" of that fell in less than 2 hours. EDIT: My total is 23.9" of snow, with 13.1 of that falling in February so far.
  15. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Yea I'm getting optimistic over here. Something needs to happen quick to curb that, because radar definitely looks good out here.
  16. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Me too. Not sure if CR will cash in, but there’s some nice banding out in NE right now. If that decides to train over anywhere, totals will rack up quickly. Probably 1.5” /hr under it. My guess for my area tonight is 1.5” total. Feel like there’s gonna be a 5-7” axis of snow somewhere along/south of I-80.
  17. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Any proof? Not at all doubting you, but I think mesoscale features like this are interesting.
  18. At least you got warning criteria, we didn’t even get that. Tonight’s snow looks like another glancing miss to the southeast. This is the biggest Cedar Rapids screwjob that I can remember in quite some time. Literally everything is avoiding us.
  19. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Sun is out here. Whiff to the south tonight. It is so hard to be optimistic about anything because the worst case turd just pans out anyways. It’s absolutely unbelievable how awful the luck we have with any significant system.
  20. Looks like the Cedar Rapids area is riding the edge tonight as well. I’m sure this event will find a way to sag south with time as opposed to north like the last one. This entire event has been a massive letdown out here so far. Sick of riding the edge.
  21. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    It's not just one office either, DVN is also thinking the main band sags south of 20, but there's no model support for that, so I am very skeptical. I'm also at 3" on the event now as the southest sagging end of the main heavy band has been parked over me for the past few hours. I don't think this continues the rest of the night though.
  22. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    On a different note, I am 100% expecting double digit totals in north Linn county, hwy-20 under the fgen band. 35 dbz, likely big flakes and thus high ratios. Interested to see what totals we can pull out of Waterloo, independence and coggon.
  23. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Kinda. I think the northern 1/3rd of Linn are the only ones that do well.
  24. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    I'm actually pretty far north. Being 2 to 3 miles north of Hiawatha. I've got a gut somewhat weenie feeling that the Cedar Rapids screwage pulls through for us, always have felt this way with this storm.