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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. ma blizzard
    I’ve noticed the same here past hour .. skies brightening up as the winds picked up If I had to guess its due to some lower level dry air being advected in
  2. ma blizzard
    From the NY Metro forum: Perhaps something we will have to worry about later?
  3. ma blizzard
    Euro more amped than the HRRR thats for sure .. SLP over eastern LI at 12z tmrw Looks a bit slower moving too
  4. ma blizzard
    I've noticed this too .. maybe 20-30 mi tick S/SE 16z HRRR quite aggressive flipping IP to SN down to rt2 initially and down to the pike as it exits
  5. ma blizzard
    For marginal areas, you'd want the convection to really get going and get as organized as possible this afternoon .. would go a long way overnight to have a more uniform area of big lift as opposed to a more banded structure
  6. ma blizzard
    39/34, ripping sleet
  7. ma blizzard
    39.4/32, precip starting off as sleet
  8. ma blizzard
    Yeah looks like it tries to flip to snow under good lift a couple times overnight even down to like KBED Not expecting much down here except for sleet
  9. ma blizzard
    18z HRRR def not backing down on the sleet
  10. ma blizzard
    I really think the sleet is being underplayed .. it could potentially end up being like 1"-1.5" of QPF as sleet between the Pike and SNH
  11. ma blizzard
    One more tick south and you will join the sleet party .. congrats
  12. ma blizzard
    ready for 2"-4" of sleet?
  13. ma blizzard
    Canadian not backing down
  14. ma blizzard
    from what I've seen warm nose peaks around 725-750 mb most guidance
  15. ma blizzard
    It might be a tough pull, but we have a chance if any reliable guidance starts coming in like the CMC / RGEM
  16. ma blizzard
    SNE getting crushed at 78h
  17. ma blizzard
    2"-4" of sleet followed by 6"-10" of snow .. sign me up
  18. ma blizzard
    maybe early jan 2020? Big ULL went south of us but in the dryslot there was thunderstorms with close to severe criteria hail in western ma / ct. IIRC it was sleeting at the time too.
  19. ma blizzard
    4.5” of nearly pure sleet here for that one .. also the benchmark for me
  20. ma blizzard
    what a goofy run .. warm layer around 750 mb turns it into a sleet fest
  21. ma blizzard
    Any help from the EPS?
  22. ma blizzard
    its a latitude thing tho .. doesn't matter how far west the primary goes, as long as it doesn't go north
  23. ma blizzard
    yup not surprising given how far south it was at 0z too
  24. ma blizzard
    CMC further north initially with the primary than earlier runs .. still looks like a southern outlier and about to crush SNE at 84 tho
  25. ma blizzard
    Reggie / NAM / CMC against the world .. what could go wrong? I would sign up for the 12z Reggie for sure
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