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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. I’d like to see more run to run continuity from the EURO before going big Also, have we ever had 600+ dm heights at 500 over New England historically? Maybe 1911 was close?
  2. GFS is very impressive this run too .. long duration heat
  3. high end heat potential day 9/10 on the 0z EURO would like to see this within D7 on modeling to feel more confident
  4. Absolutely - The current pattern has been difficult to shake .. just when it looked like it was turning, we had another ill timed -NAO / +PNA episode. I'll say though if we get the typical strong Niño to strong La Niña transition summer pattern, good chance July / AUG roast and we make a run for the hottest summer of all time.
  5. Looks like the hottest since June 2021 at least, KBOS:
  6. textbook on the EURO .. will be interesting to see how this evolves over time.
  7. toasty OP GFS run in the extended
  8. Warmer look on the EURO next Mon-Wed compared to the GFS
  9. Anecdotally it seems there has been an unusual amount of variability even in the D5-D7 range lately
  10. 18z run most amped yet with a widespread 1"-2" .. it will be interesting to see if we once again over-achieve
  11. noticed that too .. seemed to go from U60s to near 80 very quickly last hour
  12. 69/57, feels a lot warmer in the sun thats for sure
  13. great day for an outdoor wedding in SE NH ... meanwhile its starting to pour in metro west
  14. warm run of the GFS so far .. verbatim looks like 70s/80s for at least a week starting on Monday
  15. Really could be a prolific rainfall producer over a localized area
  16. 12z guidance hedging wetter Wednesday night / Thursday .. still a little skeptical but we'll see
  17. Tough call for sure .. weenie range HRRR would soak and 12z NAM is trending that way Before 12z runs I would say hedge drier, but we'll have to see ..
  18. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
  19. might have to bring in some plants the next few nights .. with enough clearing could be close to frost
  20. Agreed, next 2 weeks is back and forth and final week of the month is more sustained warmth
  21. not sure .. I'd argue the end of May looks warm and the only thing holding it back from potentially our first taste of HHH is the tendency for west based -NAO.
  22. Already up to 68 For all the dreary days we've had, this spring has featured many gems like today
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