ma blizzard

can't argue with this .. maybe even some lowers dews for the tomatoes as they finish ..

1.5" today 6.94" MTD 20.81" since July 1st

only got down to 51 last night, had trouble radiating til past 1 was expecting 40s

1.99” so far today

what it lookin like?

Typical super over amped NAM run right before go time .. 3km solution seems a lot more believable than the 12km

I’ve never seen this many rabbits either

the d8-d10 cool shot is legit .. drops dews into the 30s/40s!

Good summary We need actual metrics to define "Dews" and "Chamber of Commerce" weather I propose: Dews: Over 65 "COC": Under 55

with dews too .. also 7.5 c / km mid lvl lapse rates which is how we know it will never verify - sorry wiz

12z GFS gone wild with the heat again .. starting D9 so usual caveats apply

Amazing So much for dews

Gotta love clown range GFS

1.38" from round 1

I'd watch the cell by Webster just east of 395

We've been tryna tell 'em

I’m still thinking the hottest stretch of the summer relative to climo is yet to come .. Aug 15 - Sept 10 Primarily WAR driven, but potentially a piece of the western heat gets delivered here “over the top” very end of Aug / early Sept

quick 0.25" downpour but meh here

I was skeptical of the 75+ dews a couple days ago but looks like it is verifying

NAM doing NAM things with those dews? mid 70s?

1.31” this evening 11.41” MTD

def would be interested in reading the paper if you can find it!

I don’t see prolonged big heat, but looks like pattern has changed to be more conducive for “pieces” of the big heat in the west to move east. At the same time, def some cooler airmasses modeled in Canada in the extended. IMO generally speaking, I see a pattern of 1-3 days of heat, couple days of seasonable weather and repeat for end of July / first half of August. I agree with the heat getting shunted more to the south and being more prolonged below our latitude. If there will be a more prolonged stretch of Hot weather, I think it is more likely mid-late Aug and from the WAR.

2.69"