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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. So is the next line of convection moving into Knoxville to Nashville the secondary warm front? .
  2. 20z update from SPC ...20Z Update... Primary change with this update was to begin trimming severe probabilities from the west across the lower MS Valley. As low-level flow continues to veer over this region, the best severe potential should shift into AL and vicinity through the remainder of the afternoon and early evening. For more information on the near-term severe threat across far eastern MS into northern/central AL, see Mesoscale Discussion 256. Strong, long-track tornadoes still appear likely across this region through the evening. Farther north, additional convection should form later this afternoon and evening across parts of western/middle TN and the mid MS Valley as a warm front continues to lift northward and a shortwave trough moves over these regions. All severe hazards appear possible, including the potential for strong tornadoes given the strength of the low-level flow/shear. A severe threat should continue this evening into tonight across the lower OH Valley. For more information on the short-term severe threat across western/middle TN .
  3. IMO the best overall combination will be across the plateau and the southern valley. .
  4. I will say the best shear is a little further East than mods were saying. .
  5. James Spann just said his house took a direct hit with his wife in it live on air .
  6. I think the Plateau and ETn might be in a bad spot. .
  7. No garbage in the inflow now. This is about to be a monster I’m afraid. .
  8. Tornado on the ground for the southern areas of Birmingham. Cell is moving straight towards Hover. .
  9. MRX said in their 9:30am update that they think whether it clears up or not probably won’t matter. Basically saying WAA will overcome morning rains and cool boundary layer whether the sun comes out or not. However they did say they believe the skies may clear for a while. Let’s also remember most guidance does not show the skies clearing and the sun coming out. So even a situation where the skies don’t clear won’t change the forecast. .
  10. MRX just updated and said the WAA will be so strong that it will overcome the cool boundary layer. They also said they expect clearing later on after lunch. .
  11. Color pencils. LOL... SPC is doing an hourly update so put their Twitter feed on alert. .
  12. I’m starting to think the cap is going to be strong. NAM is just a epic outbreak except for the strong cap. .
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