PowellVolz

Warm front showers and storms are already getting started. They are a little further north than I expected. .

We don’t really even need the sun to be honest. The biggest question is how much trash will be in the warm sector. .

My goodness .

.

Praying for no deaths or serious injuries if this comes to a head. .

Yuck .

Wow... that ain’t pretty .

Woof .

My goodness. It’s almost automatic anymore .

He is so disappointing as a tournament coach. I don’t get it. .

Saw a couple of tweets talking about later on this week. I feel like Knoxville is over due for a tornado. It’s been several years since we have had a good one. I was in Powell at my home in February of 93’ when a F3 hit about 3/4 of a mile from me. It started in Oak Ridge and ended up in Halls. Leveled about 20-30 houses in the subdivision next to mine. Same night Lenoir City to Ft Loudon dam got hit. .

.

It’s not a legit outbreak until Cullman is under a warning. .

That WF is moving faster than I expected. .

Tennessee vs Oklahoma St will be a interesting matchup. I think Tennessee has a couple of guys that can guard Ok St’s stud freshman .

.

.

Read the link he posted. It says phase 1 and 2 have a higher likelihood of having EF2 or greater tornadoes. .

Oh wow .

.

.

Wow .

I’m shocked at MRX’s AFD for Wednesday. I’ve never seen this kind of wording this far out from them. I get being aware of the situation but dang. .

What the crap. This shows you why the mods are so hard to trust. .

Some unusual strong wording from MRX in their AFD for Wednesday/Night severe chances. “Much uncertainty still exists in the location, type(s), and magnitude of potential severe weather with this mid-week system. With respect to the cyclogenesis expected to occur on Wednesday, the GFS is the most aggressive deterministic model, suggesting the surface low to strengthen below 995mb as it moves into the lower Midwest. The ECMWF and CMC guidance are less aggressive with the CMC holding a more northerly track towards the Great Lakes. The strength and track of the system is key for efficiency of surface-based WAA and sufficient instability in our area. In any solution, strong deep- layer and low-level shear is expected, along with a veering vertical wind profile. The GFS solution, being most aggressive, suggests surface-based instability sufficient for organized supercellular convection Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night in southern portions of the area at a minimum. With this solution, a threat for all types of severe weather exists. However, the ECMWF and CMC solutions keep instability and convection as elevated with possible threats for damaging winds and hail. Ensemble solutions also vary significantly. Ultimately, this system will certainly be something to watch as we head into next week since potential exists for notable severe weather across southern portions of the U.S” .