janetjanet998

This look rather interesting...latest SPC outlook sums it up .THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST... ..SUMMARY NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY HAZARD ARE EXPECTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST. ..UPPER MIDWEST AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER PERIOD MAY UNFOLD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH POTENTIAL FOR A DERECHO AND/OR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE. FURTHER UPGRADES IN PROBABILITIES/RISK ARE POSSIBLE IN LATER OUTLOOKS. LARGE-SCALE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TROUGH EJECTS TOWARDS THE RED RIVER VALLEY. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET INTO SOUTHEAST MN AND SOUTHERN WI WITH AMPLE BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS. ROBUST SURFACE HEATING IS ANTICIPATED IN THE WAKE OF MORNING ELEVATED CONVECTION OVER EASTERN IA/WI TO A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT THAT BISECTS MN TO A SURFACE CYCLONE OVER SOUTHEAST SD. THE PRESENCE OF A STOUT ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WILL YIELD A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY PEAK HEATING WITH MLCAPE OF 2500-3500 J/KG ACROSS IA, SOUTHERN MN AND MOST OF WI. CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SURFACE CYCLONE IN CONJUNCTION WITH INCREASING MID-LEVEL ASCENT THROUGH A MINOR PERTURBATION APPROACHING FROM THE NE PANHANDLE AND LARGER-SCALE HEIGHT FALLS SHOULD RESULT IN DEEPENING CONVECTION BY 20-21Z ACROSS THE SIOUXLAND REGION. GIVEN VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG SPEED SHEAR THROUGH THE CLOUD-BEARING LAYER, INITIAL SUPERCELLS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER, WITH WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH WITHIN THE INITIATING CORRIDOR AND DEEP-LAYER FLOW MORE PARALLEL THAN ORTHOGONAL TO THE FRONT, UPSCALE GROWTH MAY RAPIDLY OCCUR AND IS CONSISTENTLY DEPICTED ACROSS CAMS. A FORWARD-PROPAGATING, BOWING MCS MAY EVOLVE ACROSS MAINLY SOUTHERN MN AND INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL WI AND UPPER MI BEFORE EVENTUALLY WEAKENING OVER PARTS OF LAKES SUPERIOR/MICHIGAN. GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT IN DEPICTING STRENGTHENING 700-MB SOUTHWESTERLIES IN THE WARM SECTOR COINCIDENT WITH THE EVOLVING MCS. THE NAM IS THE STRONGEST OF GUIDANCE WITH CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK OF THE MCS SUGGESTING 700-MB WINDS WOULD APPROACH 80 KT BY LATE EVENING NEAR THE WI/MI BORDER. THE LARGE BUOYANCY, STEEPNESS OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES, AMPLIFYING FLOW REGIME, AND CONSISTENT CAM SIGNAL ALL SUGGEST THAT A DERECHO IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS COULD BECOME WIDESPREAD WITH SCATTERED SEVERE GUSTS. HAVE UPGRADED TO ENH RISK FOR THIS POSSIBILITY AND A FURTHER UPGRADE MAY BE NECESSARY IN LATER OUTLOOKS IF THIS SCENARIO APPEARS LIKELY. THE LINEAR/CLUSTER MODE SHOULD MITIGATE A GREATER TORNADO AND HAIL RISK. BUT GIVEN THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY, BRIEF TORNADOES FROM EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS OR MESOVORTICIES WITHIN THE LINE ARE POSSIBLE.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1fV5Uq_b4A

The NWS & @CAL_FIRE Serious Accident Review Team (SART) are conducting a storm damage survey regarding the large fire whirl that occurred Thursday evening in Redding. Preliminary indicators placed max wind speeds achieved by the fire whirl in excess of 143 mph. https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento

yikes looking bad..lots of debris detected

TOG now confirmed

REAS AFFECTED...EASTERN IOWA INTO FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS. CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 285... VALID 192218Z - 192315Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 285 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...SEVERAL TORNADOES HAVE BEEN CONFIRMED FROM TWO SUPERCELLS IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA. THE TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES INTO THE EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF TORNADO WATCH 285. DISCUSSION...TWO SUPERCELLS HAVE GENERATED NUMEROUS CONFIRMED TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL IOWA THIS EVENING. THE TORNADO CONFIRMED IN MARSHALLTOWN, IOWA FORMED AS THE NORTHERN SUPERCELL INTERACTED WITH THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE SOUTHERN SUPERCELL. THIS SUPERCELL HAS NOW WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT MOVED INTO A COOLER AIRMASS EAST OF THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. A TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA, BUT THE HIGHEST TORNADO THREAT IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUPERCELL MOVING INTO KEOKUK AND WAPELLO COUNTIES WHERE INSTABILITY IS MAXIMIZED WITH MLCAPE AROUND 2500 J/KG. WILL BE WATCHING THESE STORMS FOR UPSCALE GROWTH OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS SOME CAMS SUGGEST THESE STORMS MAY CONGEAL AND POSE A WIND THREAT INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS LATER THIS EVENING.

and until 20z today only 2% Tor probs(then 5%)....sort of reminds me of the surprise Utica Il outbreak.... some veteran chasers saw it..a facebook friend of mine posted about noon Mark 5 hrs · Grrrr... Should be chasing Eastern Iowa today....

2 NW Marshalltown [Marshall Co, IA] TRAINED SPOTTER reports TORNADO. REPORTS OF CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE, INCLUDING VEHICLES MISSING, VEHICLES OVERTURNED, TOPS OF BUILDINGS GONE, TREES DOWN, POWER LINES, GAS LINES,

Live TV https://whotv.com/on-air/live-streaming/

0410 PM TORNADO 1 E PELLA 41.41N 92.89W 07/19/2018 MARION IA LAW ENFORCEMENT VERMEER PLANT TOOK DIRECT HIT FROM TORNADO. SEVERAL INJURIES REPORTED. GAS LEAK DANGER AS WELL.

still C127-171-192200- /O.CON.KDMX.TO.W.0047.000000T0000Z-180719T2200Z/ MARSHALL IA-TAMA IA- 446 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2018 ..TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR MARSHALLTOWN! ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR EASTERN MARSHALL AND SOUTHWESTERN TAMA COUNTIES... AT 446 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER MARSHALLTOWN, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR MARSHALLTOWN. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

population 27,000..north end of town looks like it took a direct hit

Marshalltown in trouble now

surprise many mini low topped hooking SUPS ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES, ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF ALABAMA, THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE, AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA INTO THIS EVENING. ..DISCUSSION RECENT SINGLE-RADAR AND MRMS DATA HAVE DISPLAYED AN ORGANIZATIONAL UPTICK IN SHALLOW SUPERCELLULAR ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION. IN FACT, A TORNADIC DEBRIS SIGNATURE WAS RECENTLY OBSERVED WITH A CELL OVER CRENSHAW CO, AL, SUGGESTING SOME INCREASE IN TORNADO POTENTIAL IS BEING REALIZED THIS AFTERNOON. KEVX DATA DISPLAY A WIND PROFILE FAVORABLE FOR THE SUSTENANCE OF LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES, AND BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE IS CERTAINLY ADEQUATE FOR TORNADOGENESIS WITH THESE ISOLATED CELLS, AS WELL AS NEW DEVELOPMENT MOVING ONSHORE FROM THE NORTHERN GULF. THEREFORE, A SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FROM SOUTHEAST ALABAMA TO SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

it may be off its peak right now but still...... C031-081-070100- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/ DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA- 754 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES... AT 754 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER COUSHATTA, OR 21 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 739 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 LAC031-081-070100- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/ DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA- 739 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 ..TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE CITY OF COUSHATTA ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES... AT 738 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR COUSHATTA, OR 16 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR COUSHATTA. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 701 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017 MOC009-109-145-050045- /O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-170405T0045Z/ NEWTON MO-BARRY MO-LAWRENCE MO- 701 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR EASTERN NEWTON...NORTHWESTERN BARRY AND SOUTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES... AT 701 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEOSHO, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TOR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 701 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0655 PM TORNADO GOODMAN 36.74N 94.40W 04/04/2017 MCDONALD MO EMERGENCY MNGR BUILDINGS DAMAGED.

And now has weakened

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 847 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0843 PM TORNADO GRAND PRAIRIE 32.75N 96.98W 01/15/2017 DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER CONFIRMED TORNADO STATE HIGHWAY 161 AND ARKANSAS

Confirmed now

Still nothing confirmed but new warning Dallas county

Really nice hook now. The line just west of it will overtake soon but until then dangerous situation