janetjanet998

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 804 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 830 PM CST * AT 802 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF HIGHWAY 67 BETWEEN ALVARADO AND VENUS. CASA RADAR INDICATES THAT THIS CIRCULATION WILL APPROACH PLEASANT POINT AND LILLIAN OVER THE NEXT FEW MINUTES. HAZARD...TORNADO.

an update still says radar indicated SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 756 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 TXC251-160215- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170116T0215Z/ JOHNSON TX- 756 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTY... AT 754 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTHEAST OF ALVARADO. CASA RADAR SHOWS THE CIRCULATION APPROACHING FM-1807 JUST EAST OF ALVARADO. IT WILL APPROACH HIGHWAY 67 BETWEEN ALVARADO AND VENUS OVER THE NEXT FEW MINUTES.

TOR warned again also a TOR warned cell in kerr county

WFUS54 KFWD 160053 TORFWD TXC217-251-160130- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0005.170116T0053Z-170116T0130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 653 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN HILL COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 730 PM CST * AT 652 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WHITNEY, OR 14 MILES WEST OF HILLSBORO, MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.

still on ground moving at a decent clip will start to affect southern metroplex here soon EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 645 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 TXC035-217-160100- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170116T0100Z/ BOSQUE TX-HILL TX- 645 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN BOSQUE AND WEST CENTRAL HILL COUNTIES... AT 645 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE WHITNEY STATE PARK, OR 16 MILES WEST OF HILLSBORO, MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.

TOG EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 634 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 TXC035-217-160100- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170116T0100Z/ BOSQUE TX-HILL TX- 634 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN BOSQUE AND SOUTHWESTERN HILL COUNTIES... AT 634 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE WHITNEY STATE PARK, OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLIFTON, MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.

I think is a second TOR warned storm....like Indy said radar doesn't have polygons edit: looks like the same storm edit2: not sure ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 610 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL BOSQUE COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 645 PM CST * AT 609 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CLIFTON, MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO.

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 8 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 600 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR OF CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING AHEAD OF AN EAST/NORTHEASTWARD-MOVING SQUALL LINE ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ASIDE FROM DAMAGING WINDS.

O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0001.170115T2327Z-170116T0000Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 527 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN CORYELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 600 PM CST * AT 526 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT GATES, OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GATESVILLE, MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 152320Z - 160115Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT IS GRADUALLY INCREASING ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL, AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED TO ADDRESS THIS POTENTIAL. DISCUSSION...OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR FROM CENTRAL TX, NORTHWARD TO NEAR THE RED RIVER. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY IS CELLULAR IN NATURE WITH SEVERAL DEEPER UPDRAFTS HAVING THE CHARACTERISTICS OF SUPERCELLS. ONE STORM HAS A LONGER HISTORY OF ROTATION AS IT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS WILLIAMSON/BELL/CORYELL COUNTIES. WEAK SUPERCELLS ARE NOW EVOLVING NORTHWEST OF WACO OVER HAMILTON/BOSQUE COUNTIES. SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY IS STILL QUITE WEAK ACROSS THIS REGION BUT DEW POINTS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING AND NEAR-SFC BASED CONVECTION COULD YIELD A SMALL BUT INCREASING THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. EVEN SO, THE PRIMARY RISK SHOULD BE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. THIS REGION IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR A WATCH.

storms near WACO (where dews are 64-65) getting that look almost like 2 warmfronts one moving north and another creeping west storm NW of Del Rio nice hook

oh yeah LOL....what was i thinking....

low-mid 60's dew points on the SE side of the metroplex at 22z I suspect the game might have a few lightning delays after the half

San Angelo radar seems to be up at 20:46z

still a slight risk although noted metroplex threat .SUMMARY SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL TO NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. A FEW TORNADOES, DAMAGING WINDS, AND LARGE HAIL ARE ANTICIPATED. ..20Z UPDATE THE SEVERE THREAT ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO WEST TX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE PRIOR OUTLOOK ACROSS THIS AREA HAS BEEN TO ACCOUNT FOR THE EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT AND LINE OF PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION. THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE APPRECIABLE SEVERE RISK REMAINS CONFINED BY A SHALLOW COLD AND STABLE AIRMASS OVER THE TX PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWEST OK. FOR MORE NEAR-TERM METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS (THROUGH ~2130Z) ON THE DEVELOPING SEVERE RISK ACROSS SOUTHWEST TX, SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 52. THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING OVER PARTS OF EAST TX IN A WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME MAY BECOME SURFACE BASED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOW TO MID 60S SURFACE DEWPOINTS ACROSS THIS REGION WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE METROPLEX OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD. RAP/HRRR FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP WITH PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR CONVECTION AS A LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTH TX IN THE 00-03Z TIMEFRAME. HAVE ACCORDINGLY MADE A MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO THE 5% TORNADO PROBABILITIES IN/AROUND THE METROPLEX TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS SCENARIO. ..GLEASON.. 01/15/2017

San Angelo radar is down 19z HRRR has almost discrete rotating cells over /mid central texas with decent Helicity swaths

SPC not to bullish with tornado potential MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0052 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1257 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST TX CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY VALID 151857Z - 152130Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WHILE THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF MORE SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN SEVERE RISK, THE ISSUANCE OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DISCUSSION...ARCS OF CONVECTION ARE SPREADING EASTWARD/NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST TX, WITHIN A REGION OF STRONG DCVA PRECEDING AN UPPER CYCLONE EMERGING OVER THE TX TRANS-PECOS REGION, AND AT THE LEADING EDGE OF AN ATTENDANT MIDLEVEL SPEED MAXIMUM/DRY SLOT. ANTECEDENT CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO MODIFY, WITH A WARM FRONT ADVANCING NORTHWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND VICINITY. TWO-HOUR SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS AROUND 2.0-3.5 MB HIGHLIGHT THE ONGOING WARM ADVECTION ACCOMPANYING A 30-40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET, INDICATED BY AREA VAD WIND PROFILES. THIS WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL NORTHWARD MOTION OF THE BOUNDARY DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, ESPECIALLY AS THE UPPER CYCLONE EMERGES OVER THE PLAINS. AS A RESULT, HIGHER THETA-E AIR SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY -- PRESENTLY CHARACTERIZED BY DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 60S -- WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD NORTHWARD. WITH MODEST DIURNAL HEATING OF THIS AIR MASS, INFLOW FOR CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN END OF THE AFOREMENTIONED ARCS OF CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY BECOME SURFACE-BASED DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE SEVERE RISK -- AIDED BY 45-55 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR COMBINING WITH 500-1250 J/KG OF MLCAPE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY -- WILL INCREASE IN THE 20Z-22Z TIME FRAME, AND DEVELOP EASTWARD/NORTHEASTWARD. A QUASI-LINEAR MODE MAY TEND TO SUPPORT PRIMARILY A SEVERE-WIND RISK. HOWEVER, SUFFICIENTLY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY PROMOTE AN ISOLATED SEVERE-HAIL RISK -- PARTICULARLY WITH LINE-EMBEDDED/LEADING SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. AMPLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR COULD SUPPORT A TORNADO OR TWO, THOUGH THE UNDERCUTTING NATURE OF LINE-RELATED OUTFLOW, COMBINED WITH THE ONGOING INCIPIENT STAGES OF BOUNDARY-LAYER DESTABILIZATION, CAST DOUBT ON A MORE SUBSTANTIAL TORNADO RISK.

latest SPC outlook kickoff at 2140z game should be over by 0115z or so....unless there is a weather delay (lightning) ..PORTIONS OF TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA MID/LATE MORNING WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EAST/NORTHEASTWARD-MOVING UPPER LOW NEARING THE EL PASO/FAR WEST TX VICINITY. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND INCREASINGLY TAKE ON A NEGATIVE TILT OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM, 30-45 KT SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS (1-3 KM ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A SEASONALLY MOIST AIR MASS NORTHWARD, WITH LOWER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS EXPECTED TO REACH PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TX LATE TODAY, WHILE SOME MIDDLE 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL REACH PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TX/HILL COUNTRY. PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS AND CONTINUED CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF A WARM FRONT CAST SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION LATER TODAY, PARTICULARLY WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT INTO NORTH-CENTRAL TX AND FAR SOUTHERN OK. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT INCREASINGLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP BY AROUND MID-AFTERNOON INITIALLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST TX IN VICINITY OF THE PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. THE MOST NUMEROUS STORMS THROUGH EARLY EVENING SHOULD OCCUR NEAR THE EASTWARD-ADVANCING FRONT ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL TX. HOWEVER, SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND MODEST CAPPING MAY ALLOW FOR SOME FRONT-PRECEDING SURFACE-BASED STORMS TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU/HILL COUNTRY VICINITIES TOWARD THE I-35 CORRIDOR OF NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS. GIVEN THAT DEEP-LAYER/LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH EARLY EVENING, BOTH INITIAL SEMI-DISCRETE/LINE-EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF AN INCREASINGLY PROMINENT LINEAR MODE NEAR THE COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. BOUTS OF LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WITH INITIAL DEVELOPMENT ACROSS WEST TX THIS AFTERNOON, BUT DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES SHOULD BECOME THE PRIMARY RISKS INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS A LARGE PART OF WEST-CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL TX.

5% TOR probs central texas ..SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS A MODIFYING WARM SECTOR ACROSS SOUTHERN TX WILL ATTEMPT TO ADVANCE NORTH AS A SWATH OF 35-50 KT LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLIES PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, AND FURTHER STRENGTHEN TONIGHT. MODEL MEAN MIXING RATIOS APPEAR TOO MOIST COMPARED TO 12Z DEL RIO AND CORPUS CHRISTI OBSERVED SOUNDINGS. IN ADDITION, A MODIFIED CONTINENTAL AIR MASS, REINFORCED BY ONGOING AND ADDITIONAL ELEVATED CONVECTION TODAY, SHOULD LIMIT THE NORTHWEST ADVANCEMENT OF THE WARM SECTOR TO PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTH-CENTRAL TX. LARGEST BUOYANCY WITH AROUND 1000 J/KG MLCAPE SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WILL BE MOST PRONOUNCED. SURFACE-BASED STORMS APPEAR MOST LIKELY TO FORM ACROSS THE PECOS VALLEY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS MID-LEVEL DCVA/HEIGHT FALLS OVERSPREAD THE DESTABILIZING NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE MODIFIED WARM SECTOR. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD FURTHER EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND SHIFT EAST-NORTHEAST, WITH AN EXTENSIVE SQUALL LINE PROBABLE BY LATE EVENING FROM PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL OK THROUGH CENTRAL TX. 30-50 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS. ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF DEVELOPMENT OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU, WHERE CONVECTION WOULD SEEMINGLY HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL TO REMAIN DISCRETE, MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE VEER-BACK-VEER VERTICAL WIND PROFILES WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE HODOGRAPH AROUND 700 MB. THIS MAY TEMPER A GREATER TORNADO RISK FROM BEING REALIZED. FARTHER NORTHEAST ALONG THE RED RIVER, WHERE MODE SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY LINEAR WITH TIME, THE PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY IS HOW FAR NORTH SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY AND A CORRESPONDING DAMAGING WIND/BRIEF TORNADO RISK WILL EXTEND INTO OK TONIGHT.

death toll now 132 156 still missing

JoMO, how soon did the tornado hit after you made your last post on here

holy moly also it looks like the walmart was 1/2 demolished

Rueters reporting 1500 missing in Joplin ...but thats likely inflated..but still even 5% of that is 75 people also 6 deaths at the hospital

death toll now 116

ariel shots,,the first builing is/was a walmart supercenter http://news.yahoo.com/s/yblog_thelookout/20110523/us_yblog_thelookout/terrifying-videos-of-missouri-twister-aftermath