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janetjanet998

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Everything posted by janetjanet998

  1. live tornado here too near huntsville http://www.waff.com/
  2. thats got to be a mile wide I think you can make out the wedge in the rain at times
  3. Nashville TN BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 422 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... NORTHERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 445 PM CDT * AT 420 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FAIRVIEW...OR 12 MILES WEST OF FRANKLIN... AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH.
  4. Yes...again it started last night in Texas..same outbreak...Non=stop tornado warnings..and many reports no gaps in conformed tornadoes 150 tornadoes seems possible..many wind damage last night will be confirmed to be tornadoes
  5. and they out number t-storm warnings 2 to 1..shows how discrete the storms are.. this is the worst outbreak i have ever followed even in the plains and I also recall following the April 1998 AL event from the NIU weather lab , and this is over more populated areas then the plains and this is rare even there,,,,,and if storms stay disrete many more hours of this history in the making
  6. the april 26-27 outbreak continues...non stop 36+ hour outbreak....many towns some large taking direct hits it is likley that current tornadoes are overlapping paths from this morning western TN and westenr KY now getting unstable...TOR warned storms to the west...still TOR warned storms over eastern TN..and MS/AL I have no words
  7. time to save the current columbis MS radar shot(reflect) wow
  8. yep..it was wider then it looked too...just no dirt like the plains to fill up the outside,,you can see small debris clouds on the outer edges away from the funnel
  9. not good power out and NOAA radio down from storms this morning
  10. every cell when it hits about 50 dbz starts to rotate now matter how small,,amazing
  11. courthouse in Downtown Cullum took a direct hit mean that sucker went though most of the city(p0p 13000)
  12. andy gabrileosn had a large funnel and a vortex spin off then I lost the signal
  13. DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0211 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 VALID 272000Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTN AND EVE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ALABAMA...NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE... ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA....ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA AND NORTHERN GEORGIA...THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA...OHIO...PARTS OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S.... ..20Z OUTLOOK UPDATE ...A DANGEROUS OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADOES APPEARS UNDERWAY...AND CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT THIS WILL EXPAND NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF STATES THROUGH MUCH OF THE OHIO VALLEY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... REMNANTS OF THE MORNING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD POOL...JUST EAST OF UPPER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...REMAIN A COMPLICATING FACTOR CONCERNING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER... LATEST OBSERVATIONAL DATA SUGGEST THAT THE COLD POOL MAY BE IN THE PROCESS OF WEAKENING. AND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING ASSOCIATED WITH THE PRECEDING RAINFALL...COUPLED WITH LATE AFTERNOON INSOLATION AND MODIFYING LOW-LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION...PROBABLY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO JUSTIFY EXPANDING MODERATE RISK SEVERE PROBABILITIES NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE OHIO VALLEY. MODEL GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE LATEST RUC AND 12Z ECMWF...INDICATE THAT A DEEP SURFACE CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN FURTHER AS IT MIGRATES NORTHWARD OUT OF THE OZARK PLATEAU...ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY ...INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL ACCOMPANY A VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE IMPULSE...WHICH IS PROGGED TO CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS CENTERED ALONG THE OHIO RIVER...FROM NEAR ITS CONFLUENCE WITH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER INTO THE CINCINNATI OH AREA BETWEEN 28/00-06Z. A 50-70 KT 850 MB JET APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP NORTHWARD TO THE WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS...AS A 100 KT 500 MB JET STREAK NOSES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS KENTUCKY AND TENNESSEE INTO OHIO BY LATE THIS EVENING...CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF BOTH LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS. GIVEN AT LEAST WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION... STRONG TORNADOES APPEAR POSSIBLE...IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR STRONG /STRAIGHT LINE/ DAMAGING CONVECTIVE GUSTS. ..KERR.. 04/27/2011
  14. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 200 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 MSC013-057-071-081-115-117-139-145-161-271930- /O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0115.000000T0000Z-110427T1930Z/ TIPPAH MS-PRENTISS MS-UNION MS-LAFAYETTE MS-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA MS- PONTOTOC MS-YALOBUSHA MS-CALHOUN MS- 200 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN...NORTHEASTERN YALOBUSHA...PONTOTOC... NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA...NORTHERN LEE...SOUTHERN LAFAYETTE...UNION... WESTERN PRENTISS AND SOUTHEASTERN TIPPAH COUNTIES... AT 140 PM CDT...FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR COUNTY ROAD 369 AND COUNTY ROAD 469 IN SOUTHERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY.
  15. was just looking at those.may be "cold core" low top mini Sups temp/dew 62/58 while 500mb -18ish
  16. There are many people without power over MS and AL still and a EOC tower got blown down too..no way to warn..I'm sure some tornado sirens may be out too stroms along the mS river are on a confluent zone where SW winds hit SE winds ....behind it still warm and humid ahaed of the front...so as usual a line may form along the front with tornadic supoercells well in advance
  17. some more suspect storm reports from this morning for BHM metro' 0507 AM TSTM WND DMG BERRY 33.66N 87.61W 04/27/2011 FAYETTE AL EMERGENCY MNGR NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND STRUCTURE DAMAGE INCLUDING THE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. 30 TO 40 STRUCTURES DAMAGE. MAINLY ROOF DAMAGE. AT LEASE 2 MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED. NO INJURIES. 0525 AM TSTM WND DMG COALING 33.16N 87.34W 04/27/2011 TUSCALOOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR NUMEROUS TREES AND STRUCTURES DAMAGED IN THE COALING AREA. AT LEAST 30 HOME DAMAGED, 15 OF THOSE HEAVILY DAMAGED AND POTENTIALLY UNINHABITABLE. SEVERAL INJURIES BUT NO DETAILS AT THIS TIME.
  18. Huntsville metro BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1141 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... WEST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA... * UNTIL 1215 PM CDT * AT 1141 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR CAPSHAW...OR ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF MADISON...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. * LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE... HUNTSVILLE. NORMAL.
  19. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1130 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... NORTHERN MORGAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... * UNTIL NOON CDT * AT 1130 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR DECATUR...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. ALC083-089-103-271700- /O.CON.KHUN.TO.W.0056.000000T0000Z-110427T1700Z/ MORGAN AL-LIMESTONE AL-MADISON AL- 1137 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...SOUTHEASTERN LIMESTONE AND NORTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTIES... AT 1137 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BELLE MINA...OR ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF DECATUR...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
  20. yikes ..THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF MS...AL TN AND GA...... ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF MS...AL...TN...KY...WRN VA...WRN NC...WRN SC...NRN GA... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-MS VALLEY...CNTRL TO ERN GULF COAST STATES...TN VALLEY...OH VALLEY...CNTRL TO SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS...CAROLINAS...MID-ATLANTIC AND NERN STATES... ...MAJOR TORNADO OUTBREAK EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AND SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS EXTENDING NWD INTO THE SRN OH VALLEY... ..TN VALLEY/SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS AND SRN OH VALLEY A VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE OZARKS TODAY AS A POWERFUL MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND NOSES INTO THE OH AND TN VALLEYS. AT THE SFC... A LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NEWD ACROSS THE MID-MS VALLEY AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS TRANSPORTED NNEWD ACROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE DESTABILIZATION IS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND THIS AIR MASS SHOULD MOVE NEWD INTO THE MODERATE AND HIGH RISK AREAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS ALONG WITH STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS VERY ORGANIZED AND CONFIDENCE IS HIGH REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR A MAJOR TORNADO OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES AND TN VALLEY EXTENDING NWD INTO THE SRN OH VALLEY. CONCERNING THE CURRENT SETUP...A LARGE MCS IS ONGOING ACROSS THE TN VALLEY. THIS CONVECTIVE SYSTEM IS TIMED TO MOVE INTO ERN TN AND NW GA BY 21Z. MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A RESERVOIR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY FROM LA EXTENDING EWD ACROSS SCNTRL MS WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE ESTIMATED IN THE 2000 TO 3000 J/KG RANGE. THIS MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD BE TRANSPORTED NEWD INTO THE HIGH RISK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE MCS EXITS THE REGION TO THE EAST. AS THE THERMODYNAMIC SETUP IMPROVES...THE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO RAPIDLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE AS THE NOSE OF A 80 TO 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTS EWD ACROSS THE REGION AND INTERACTS WITH A WELL-DEVELOPED LOW-LEVEL JET. THIS WILL CREATE LARGE LOOPING HODOGRAPHS FROM ERN MS AND NCNTRL AL NWD INTO SRN TN. 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES IN THE 450 TO 600 M2/S2 RANGE SHOULD BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE GREATEST TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL EXIST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING FROM COLUMBUS MS EWD TO BIRMINGHAM AND HUNTSVILLE AL. THIS AREA IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE ONGOING MCS WHERE DESTABILIZATION SHOULD BE MOST FAVORABLE. AS SUPERCELLS INITIATE IN ERN MS AND TRACK ENEWD ACROSS THE HIGH RISK AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...A TORNADO OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED. A FEW LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES AND POSSIBLY A VIOLENT TORNADO OR TWO MAY OCCUR AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS EARLY THIS EVENING. HAVE ADDED A 45 PERCENT SIG-TOR AREA WHERE CONFIDENCE IS THE HIGHEST CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG-TRACK TORNADOES. LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE LIKELY WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP. FURTHER TO THE NORTH ACROSS MIDDLE TN IN WCNTRL KY...THE ONGOING MCS IS HAMPERING DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...AS THE MID-LEVEL JET NOSES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST...THE MODERATE INSTABILITY IN NRN LA AND SRN AR IS EXPECTED TO ADVECT QUICKLY NNEWD ACROSS WCNTRL TN AND WCNTRL KY BETWEEN THE EXITING MCS AND A CLUSTER OF STORMS IN NW AR AND SRN MO. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE MOIST AXIS TO BE LOCATED FROM WEST OF NASHVILLE NEWD TO NEAR LOUISVILLE WHERE NUMEROUS SFC-BASED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW-LEVEL JET AND MID-LEVEL JET ARE FORECAST TO BE JUXTAPOSED ACROSS THIS CORRIDOR SUGGESTING SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES EVEN IF DESTABILIZATION IS NOT AS GREAT AS IS EXPECTED. THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A BROKEN LINE OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WILL INITIATE ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF THE MODERATE RISK AREA AND TRACK EWD ACROSS CNTRL KY AND MIDDLE TN EARLY THIS EVENING. THE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND A FEW LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES MAY OCCUR. THE MODERATE RISK AREA HAS BEEN EXTENDED WWD ACROSS PARTS OF MIDDLE TN AND CNTRL KY TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP. AS A BROKEN LINE OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS MOVES EWD ACROSS THE HIGH AND MODERATE RISK AREAS THIS EVENING...A TRANSITION TO MORE OF A WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY OCCUR AS THE LINE CONGEALS AND BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS DEVELOP. AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD EXIST AS FAR EAST AS WRN VA ...WRN NC AND WRN SC DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS WHEN A LARGE MCS MOVES INTO THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS. THE TORNADO THREAT MAY SHIFT SWD LATE THIS EVENING INTO NRN GA WHERE THE STORMS MAY TEND TO REMAIN DISCRETE. ..CNTRL TO NRN APPALACHIAN MTNS/CAROLINAS/ERN GULF COAST STATES THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES WILL MOVE INTO THE MS VALLEY THIS EVENING AS A POWERFUL MID-LEVEL JET EJECTS NEWD OUT OF THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET WILL MOVE INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS AND ERN GREAT LAKES WHERE DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT. ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE JET AXIS...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED FROM ERN OH EXTENDING SWD INTO FAR WRN SC AROUND 06Z. THIS LINE SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS NY...PA...VA...NC AND SC WHERE A WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD EXIST DUE TO STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW. AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD EXIST ACROSS VA AND WRN CAROLINAS WHERE THE MODELS DEVELOP MODERATE INSTABILITY AFTER 06Z. ..BROYLES/GARNER.. 04/27/2011
  21. i wonder what they need to get a red becuase these are the best parameters i have ever seen? I see they epanded the nMOD risk more north too with hatched tornado
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