janetjanet998

7.2 inches in my dads gauge on the far NE side of Pekin

0640 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 N PEORIA INTERNATIONA 40.70N 89.68W 07/15/2020 M6.48 INCH PEORIA IL TRAINED SPOTTER RAIN SINCE 1PM

worst flooding in quite a while here 2.85 inches on 1 hour at the airport last ob if it is correct 5 total City and SE metro hit hard Peoria, Pekin, East Peoria. Morton and smaller towns hit hard edit: several on facebook reporting 6 inch rain gauge overflowing NW side of Morton

Tornado watch issued at 2:10 Meso update on that watch at 2:13 3 mins..got to be the fastest ever TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 373 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 210 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN ILLINOIS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...AN REMNANT MCV AND ITS RELATED STRONG DEEP-LAYER/LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL AS ORGANIZING LINEAR BOWING STORMS THROUGH MID/LATE AFTERNOON. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ASIDE FROM MORE PREVALENT DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS. SEVERE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1234 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0213 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2020 AREAS AFFECTED...WEST-CENTRAL/CENTRAL IL CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 373... VALID 151913Z - 152015Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 373 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...ALL SEVERE HAZARDS, INCLUDING LARGE HAIL AND A TORNADO OR TWO, ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF TORNADO WATCH 373 FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. DISCUSSION...RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A LOW NORTH OF COU IN CENTRAL MO, WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL IL. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL AND CENTRAL IL NORTH OF THIS WARM FRONT FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER, RECENT RADAR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN A STRENGTHENING TREND WITH A FEW OF THESE STORMS, PARTICULARLY THE STORM IN TAZEWELL COUNTY. AS EVIDENCED BY THE 17Z ILX SOUNDING, INSTABILITY IS MODEST IN THIS REGION, BUT VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONG. AS A RESULT, MORE PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS SHOULD BE ABLE TO ORGANIZE/ROTATE, CONTRIBUTING TO A SLIGHTLY GREATER SEVERE THREAT THAN WOULD OTHERWISE BE SUPPORTED BY THE INSTABILITY. ADDITIONALLY, INITIALLY ELEVATED STORMS (LIKE THOSE WEST OF TAZEWELL COUNTY) MAY BE ABLE TO TRANSITION TO MORE SURFACE-BASED IF MID-LEVEL ROTATION PERSISTS AND/OR AS A RESULT OF INTERACTION WITH THE WARM FRONTAL ZONE. CONSEQUENTLY, ALL SEVERE HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE, INCLUDING LARGE HAIL AND A TORNADO OR TWO.

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0491 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1142 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2020 Areas affected......Central Missouri to central Illinois... Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 151545Z - 152145Z Summary...Flash flooding is possible as showers and thunderstorms expand across central Illinois into north central Missouri. Rainfall totals between now and 22z are expected to be 1-3 inches with isolated maxima to 5 inches. Discussion...Widespread showers and thunderstorms moving northeast from northern Missouri are expected to continue moving across central Illinois through early afternoon. The northern half of the threat area over central to northern IL is where a low level warm front centered near 850 mb drifts north, with focused warm and moisture advection combining with frontal convergence and 850-700 mb moisture fluxes to produce ascent. Since the axis of instability is forecast to remain over northern to central Missouri, redevelopment of cells is expected as temperatures rise in the warm sector and instability increases with time. The 14z RAP indicates potential for mixed layer CAPE values to increase to 2000-3000 j/kg early this afternoon over east central Missouri. The precipitable water values are estimated to increase to 2-2.25 inches in the 14z run of the RAP this morning from northeast Missouri across central Illinois. A closed 850-700 mb low moving across northern Missouri provides focus for lift in the area of greatest moisture, along with pre-frontal convergence east of a quasi stationary surface front near the Iowa/Illinois border and forming cold front in northeast Missouri. With moist, convergent flow centered near 850 mb, convection should develop in the higher precipitable water axis. Rainfall rates of 1-2 in/hr will be likely given the high available moisture in east central Missouri. The high res models from the 12z NAM Conus Nest, 00z NSSL WRF, 13-14z HRRR, experimental HRRR, and 12z WRF ARW/ARW member 2 forecast clusters of 1-3 inches of rain by 21z, with isolated maxima to 5 inches. Flash flood guidance in 2-3 inches of rain in 3 hours, so flash flooding will be focused on the more persistent clusters of storms. The activity has been developing and moving a little more quickly to the east northeast than most of the guidance. The 06-12z Canadian regional GEM has captured the faster east progression better than the WRF ARW/NMMB/Experimental HRRR. Also, these models may be depicting heavier rain too far north into the area of less instability in southeast Iowa. Petersen ATTN...WFO...DVN...EAX...ILX...LOT...LSX...SGF... ATTN...RFC...MBRFC...NCRFC...NWC...

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0407 NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1004 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2020 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST IOWA, EASTERN MO, SOUTHERN IL, WESTERN KY CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY VALID 301404Z - 302000Z SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN MCV AND LLJ WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL RATES TO 2"/HR ARE LIKELY, PRODUCING AN ADDITIONAL 1-3" OF RAIN, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 5" POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL WILL EXACERBATE AND PERSIST ONGOING FLASH FLOODING. DISCUSSION...GOES-16 IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING DEPICTS AN EXTENDED CLUSTER OF COOLING CLOUD TOPS FROM FAR SOUTHEAST IOWA TO AS FAR SOUTH AS CENTRAL TENNESSEE. THIS IS REPRESENTATIVE OF A REGION OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BENEATH IT, ASSOCIATED WITH AN MCV NEAR THE IL/IA/MO BORDER, AS WELL AS ALONG THE NOSE OF A ROBUST LLJ ARCING FROM THE SW AT 30-40KTS. 12Z U/A SOUNDINGS INDICATED PWS OF 1.57" AT DVN AND 1.68" AT ILX, BOTH AT OR ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR THE DATE, WITH GPS TPW OBSERVATIONS INDICATING PWS TO 1.8" LURKING JUST SW OF THE AREA. WARM CLOUD DEPTHS AT ILX WERE MEASURED AT ALMOST 13,500 FT, AND A RIBBON OF MUCAPE OF GREATER THAN 2000 J/KG WAS ANALYZED BY THE RECENT RAP, WITH A MODEST WEST TO EAST INSTABILITY GRADIENT PRESENT ACROSS THE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH THE HIGH-RES CAMS DIFFER AS TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE CONVECTION INTO THE AFTERNOON, THERE IS LIKELY TO BE A CONTINUATION OF THE BI-MODAL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL. THE FIRST IS EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MCV WHICH IS FORECAST TO PIVOT NEARLY IN PLACE ACROSS SE IA. AS THIS SPINS, AN ENHANCED CONVERGENT BOUNDARY IS LIKELY TO PERSIST AND INTENSIFY TO ITS S/SW AS MODEST 850MB INFLOW SUPPLIES EXTREME INSTABILITY (MUCAPE RISING TO 3000 J/KG) AND ANOMALOUS PWS APPROACHING 2". WHILE SOME SUBTLE W/SW MOVEMENT OF THIS BOUNDARY IS LIKELY, IT WILL BE SLOW TO DRIFT AS IT ENCOUNTERS WARMER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES TO THE WEST, SUGGESTING REGENERATION AND TRAINING/BACKBUILDING ALONG IT WITH LITTLE DISPLACEMENT. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE AN AREA OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WITH RATES POTENTIALLY RISING TO 2"/HR OR MORE. MUCH OF THIS AREA HAS ALREADY RECEIVED MRMS ESTIMATED RAINFALL OF 2-4" WITH LOCALLY MORE THAN 6" IN THE LAST 12 HOURS, SO SOILS ARE PRE-SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WOULD ENHANCE ONGOING FLASH FLOODING. AN ADDITIONAL 1-2" OF RAINFALL WITH AMOUNTS LOCALLY DOUBLE THAT IS LIKELY AS SHOWN BY THE RECENT HRRRV4, HRRRV3, AND ARW. FURTHER SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN IL AND INTO WESTERN KY, A SECONDARY MAXIMA IS POSSIBLE WHERE THE NOSE OF THE LLJ MORE IMPRESSIVELY DRIVES MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND INSTABILITY TRANSPORT. DEEPENING WARM CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO MUCAPE RISING TOWARDS 4000 J/KG AND PWS IN EXCESS OF 2" SUGGESTS RAIN RATES WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND MAY EXCEED 2"/HR AS WELL. WHILE THERE EXISTS MORE UNCERTAINTY HERE DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A LAG IN ATMOSPHERIC RECOVERY, THE ROBUST LLJ AND EXTREME THERMODYNAMICS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL, AND RECENT HRRR RUNS SUGGEST REDEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AFTN. CORFIDI VECTORS ARE FAVORABLE FOR BACKBUILDING, AND WHERE EXCESSIVE RAIN RATES CAN TRAIN, AN ADDITIONAL 1-3" WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 5" ARE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL PROLONG AND ENHANCE FLASH FLOODING. WEISS

12HRRR is just crazy for western IL/ NE MO...keep rains going almost nonstop(expect a couple hours maybe this afternoon) for the next 24 hours as the area gets caught in a WAA wing of a MCS overnight This over areas that have 4-8 inches already IF this correct 10-13 inch amounts possible

06z NAM didn't back off..... already 4-8 inches in the Quincy area MS river river was already at or near flood stage form there to just north of STL models have the whole stem from UIN to mouth of OH river dumped on

NAM is a "tad" bullish with rainfall amounts in SW IL

models develop an interesting little low over western IL the next 24 hours PW vales >2 and 500mb temps warming to -3 C on NAM

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 148 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 610 PM EDT SAT APR 25 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN GEORGIA FAR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWEST SOUTH CAROLINA EASTERN TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY EVENING FROM 610 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...MULTIPLE, LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES AND SEVERE HAIL, BEFORE WEAKENING LATER THIS EVENING.

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 455 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 TNC159-252215- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-200425T2215Z/ SMITH TN- 455 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY... AT 454 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR I-40 AROUND 7 MILES WEST OF GORDONSVILLE, MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

TDS edit: to add update 51 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY... AT 450 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR I-40 NORTHEAST OF WATERTOWN, OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARTHAGE, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 446 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... EAST CENTRAL WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 515 PM CDT. * AT 446 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WATERTOWN, OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARTHAGE, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1126 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 VALID 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT FROM EASTERN TN/SOUTHEASTERN KY INTO WESTERN NC... ..SUMMARY ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY ALSO OCCUR ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. ..TN/KY TODAY TO NC THROUGH TONIGHT A MIDLEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE CYCLONE OVER SOUTHEAST MO THIS MORNING WILL PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE OH RIVER TODAY, AND REACH THE APPALACHIANS OVERNIGHT. RESIDUAL BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 56-60 F WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO TN/KY IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE CYCLONE. SURFACE HEATING WILL BE SOMEWHAT MUTED BY LINGERING CLOUDS, BUT GRADUAL BREAKS FROM WEST TO EAST WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE NEAR 500 J/KG BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH/SURFACE CYCLONE. THOUGH BUOYANCY WILL BE RATHER MODEST, DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS, AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES, DEPENDING ON THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION. STORMS THAT MATURE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS EASTERN TN COULD PERSIST INTO WESTERN NC BEFORE WEAKENING EARLY TONIGHT. FARTHER EAST AND OVERNIGHT, SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED ALONG A SURFACE WARM FRONT LIKELY TO BE NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER BY 12Z, AND AS AN UPSTREAM SPEED MAX OVER THE PLAINS ROTATES THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH APPROACHING THE APPALACHIANS. GRADUAL AIR MASS MODIFICATION IS EXPECTED OFF THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST IN THE WAKE OF THE PRIOR FRONTAL INTRUSION ACROSS FL. AS THE LOW LEVELS WARM/MOISTEN ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN TONIGHT, WIND PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. HOWEVER, UNCERTAINTY CENTERS ON FORCING FOR ASCENT AND STORM COVERAGE WHERE LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION IS MOST PROBABLE (CLOSER TO THE COAST), SO WILL MAINTAIN LOW TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITIES FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD ACROSS EASTERN NC.

possible sleeper event TN/KY today , lots of spin near stacked low and cold 500mb temps

overnight event deep south DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0345 AM CDT THU APR 16 2020 VALID 191200Z - 241200Z ..DISCUSSION MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT DEPICTING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING QUICKLY FROM TX SUNDAY/D4 MORNING TO GA BY 12Z MONDAY/D5. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE RED RIVER DURING THE DAY SUNDAY, SHIFTING EAST TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY BY 00Z. AHEAD OF THE LOW, A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES, WITH UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS LIKELY INTO CENTRAL MS, AL, AND GA, WITH LOW 70S F ALONG THE COAST. MUCAPE TO AT LEAST 2000 J/KG IS LIKELY BY 18Z FROM TX INTO AL, WITH STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT AND 500 MB TEMPERATURES ON THE ORDER OF -10 TO -12 C. STORMS ARE FORECAST TO FORM RELATIVELY EARLY OVER EAST TX, WHERE THE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE INITIALLY, WITH AN EVENTUAL MCS LIKELY. A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE DESPITE MARGINAL LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. MEANWHILE TO THE EAST, WARM ADVECTION MAY SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WELL AHEAD OF THE MCS ACROSS MS, AL, GA, PRODUCING A TORNADO OR TWO ALONG WITH HAIL. THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK IN TERMS OF COVERAGE WILL LIKELY BE AN MCS TIED TO THE SURFACE LOW AS IT QUICKLY MOVES ALONG THE EAST-WEST INSTABILITY GRADIENT ACROSS LA, MS, AL AND INTO GA. SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK IS PRESENT IN THE MODELS, SUPPORTING THE NOTION OF A WELL-DEFINED MCS WITH DAMAGING WINDS. WHILE SRH WILL NOT BE VERY STRONG INITIALLY, IT SHOULD INCREASE AFTER 00Z, WITH ENHANCED WIND AND/OR TORNADO POTENTIAL. THE CORRIDOR OF MAXIMUM THREAT WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED IN LATER OUTLOOKS. FOR D5/MONDAY, THERE MAY BE A SMALL AREA OF SEVERE POTENTIAL REMAINING WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER FAR EASTERN GA AND THE CAROLINAS AROUND 12Z. HOWEVER, MUCH WILL DEPEND ON HOW FAST THE SYSTEM MOVES, THEREFORE PREDICTABILITY ISSUES WILL PRECLUDE AN AREA.

Severe weather possible again this Sunday 12 Euro most aggressive with a 1004 low in NW Texas at 12z and 995 mb in SC/GA at 12z Monday another event possible mid next week (gfs, CMC) as more southern jet energy moving in

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1207 PM EDT MON APR 13 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN BALTIMORE CITY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND... NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND... SOUTHWESTERN BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND... * UNTIL 1230 PM EDT. * AT 1207 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR COLUMBIA, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO.

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 119 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DELAWARE MARYLAND NEW JERSEY CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTHERN VIRGINIA EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1130 AM UNTIL 600 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY AND A COUPLE TORNADIC STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

Italy ..not good..being stubborn 619 new deaths and 4694 new cases the most in a week model had it at 281 deaths for today

just saw this Cook county Jail is the nations "hotspot" with 448 cases, with Statesville #7 https://twitter.com/lookner/status/1248738712323751942/photo/1

new update in corrected some what the errors I talked about , peak too high but slope after peak decline too steep added about 1400 more deaths 61,545 but Italy update slope will be way way off still https://covid19.healthdata.org/italy