janetjanet998

1225 PM TSTM WND GST BLAIRSTOWN 41.91N 92.08W 08/10/2020 E90 MPH BENTON IA EMERGENCY MNGR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 90 MPH WITH MAJOR DAMAGE REPORTED IN TOWN.

the VAD in the lower 3km on COD nexlab was interesting and still has 60 kts

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1204 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2020 IAC099-123-125-127-157-171-101730- /O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0151.000000T0000Z-200810T1730Z/ POWESHIEK IA-MARSHALL IA-MARION IA-TAMA IA-MAHASKA IA-JASPER IA- 1204 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2020 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR POWESHIEK...EASTERN MARSHALL...NORTHEASTERN MARION...TAMA... MAHASKA AND EASTERN JASPER COUNTIES... AT 1203 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR TRAER TO NEAR VICTOR TO 6 MILES WEST OF DELTA, MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH. THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS. HAZARD...90 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOME AREAS MAY HAVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH!

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 148 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 610 PM EDT SAT APR 25 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN GEORGIA FAR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWEST SOUTH CAROLINA EASTERN TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY EVENING FROM 610 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...MULTIPLE, LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES AND SEVERE HAIL, BEFORE WEAKENING LATER THIS EVENING.

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 455 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 TNC159-252215- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-200425T2215Z/ SMITH TN- 455 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY... AT 454 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR I-40 AROUND 7 MILES WEST OF GORDONSVILLE, MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

TDS edit: to add update 51 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY... AT 450 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR I-40 NORTHEAST OF WATERTOWN, OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARTHAGE, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 446 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... EAST CENTRAL WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 515 PM CDT. * AT 446 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WATERTOWN, OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARTHAGE, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1126 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 VALID 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT FROM EASTERN TN/SOUTHEASTERN KY INTO WESTERN NC... ..SUMMARY ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY ALSO OCCUR ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. ..TN/KY TODAY TO NC THROUGH TONIGHT A MIDLEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE CYCLONE OVER SOUTHEAST MO THIS MORNING WILL PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE OH RIVER TODAY, AND REACH THE APPALACHIANS OVERNIGHT. RESIDUAL BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 56-60 F WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO TN/KY IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE CYCLONE. SURFACE HEATING WILL BE SOMEWHAT MUTED BY LINGERING CLOUDS, BUT GRADUAL BREAKS FROM WEST TO EAST WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE NEAR 500 J/KG BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH/SURFACE CYCLONE. THOUGH BUOYANCY WILL BE RATHER MODEST, DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS, AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES, DEPENDING ON THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION. STORMS THAT MATURE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS EASTERN TN COULD PERSIST INTO WESTERN NC BEFORE WEAKENING EARLY TONIGHT. FARTHER EAST AND OVERNIGHT, SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED ALONG A SURFACE WARM FRONT LIKELY TO BE NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER BY 12Z, AND AS AN UPSTREAM SPEED MAX OVER THE PLAINS ROTATES THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH APPROACHING THE APPALACHIANS. GRADUAL AIR MASS MODIFICATION IS EXPECTED OFF THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST IN THE WAKE OF THE PRIOR FRONTAL INTRUSION ACROSS FL. AS THE LOW LEVELS WARM/MOISTEN ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN TONIGHT, WIND PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. HOWEVER, UNCERTAINTY CENTERS ON FORCING FOR ASCENT AND STORM COVERAGE WHERE LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION IS MOST PROBABLE (CLOSER TO THE COAST), SO WILL MAINTAIN LOW TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITIES FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD ACROSS EASTERN NC.

possible sleeper event TN/KY today , lots of spin near stacked low and cold 500mb temps

Italy ..not good..being stubborn 619 new deaths and 4694 new cases the most in a week model had it at 281 deaths for today

just saw this Cook county Jail is the nations "hotspot" with 448 cases, with Statesville #7 https://twitter.com/lookner/status/1248738712323751942/photo/1

new update in corrected some what the errors I talked about , peak too high but slope after peak decline too steep added about 1400 more deaths 61,545 but Italy update slope will be way way off still https://covid19.healthdata.org/italy

ouch MI 205 new deaths with 1279 new cases IL 1465/ 68

Here is the model the WH likes to use https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america 60,000 deaths .....down from 120K the issue I see with it is that the slope may be too steep after the peak with decreasing deaths per day plus no deaths after June 15th and only 60 total June 1-14 you can see this error in Italy ...which served as some of the original data input for the model https://covid19.healthdata.org/italy Italy projection for 4-9 was 384 actual 570 (plus almost 4000 new cases...)

Kathy Griffin @kathygriffin · 32m Brutal. “The FDNY reports 241 New Yorkers dying at home Sunday — more than the number of confirmed #COVID19 deaths that occurred citywide that day. On Monday night, the city reported 266 new deaths, suggesting the possibility of a 40% undercount of #coronavirus-related deaths.”

looks like 1237 new cases in IL 73 new deaths

Last Tuesday also had a big spike after a decline/flat weekend .. 550ish to 900ish weekend backlog processed on Monday? Similar trend in Europe

Michigan with another bad day 1749 new cases 118 new deaths US daily death tally now at 1522 and counting

just like Italy and Spain

oh man ISDH: 11 dead from COVID-19 at Madison County nursing home https://www.wishtv.com/news/medical/isdh-11-dead-from-covid-19-at-madison-county-nursing-home/

The Illinois Department of Public Health announced Saturday there are 899 new cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 31 additional deaths.

although it was very obvious from the start for those paying attention China was lying....many casual observers likely thought it was just like SARS only a little worse...( I have been paying very close attention and started daily threads at another forum about this since late Jan) check out these numbers Last 3 days USA 88,631 cases 3329 deaths Last 3 months CHINA 81,639 cases 3326 deaths China has over 4 times the population of the USA

warm humid weather will stop the virus? Corpses Lie For Days As Ecuador Struggles To Keep Up With COVID-19 Deaths Ecuador is one of the smallest countries in South America but it is dealing with one of the region's worst outbreaks of COVID-19, with more than 3,100 identified infections and 120 deaths. The epicenter of the country's outbreak is the Pacific port city of Guayaquil, where bodies are lying in the streets. As a result, the bodies of people who have died in their homes due to COVID-19 and other illnesses often lie for days, wrapped in bed sheets and plastic and decomposing in the tropical heat as relatives watch over them. https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/04/03/826675439/corpses-lie-for-days-as-ecuador-struggles-to-keep-up-with-covid-19-deaths

not sure if that is the final total..they have several updates a day