downeastnc

Yeah temp is 88 DP is 77 heat index is 100 lol......I love NC but man I hate June-Aug outside of thunderstorms.....which I havent had a good one IMBY in ages......I suspect today will follow that pattern again but maybe I will get lucky.

Hi res models all bring the low off SC ashore over coastal NC and dump some 2-3" totals overnight into tomorrow morning....just scattered stuff so far.....

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=custom&product=vis

probably wont even make TD but I have seen these smaller systems cross the IBX/OBX and produce TS conditions......RGEM had NAM 3k have it over or just offshore and at the least waterspouts and weak tornados with heavy rain would be the concern.

the Hi Res models have a interesting little swirl off the NC coast this weekend....

Meh I am suppose to be out of town that weekend so it will tease a hit so I have to stay home or come home early then curve OTS and miss.....

I bet I got more rain in the last 30 mins than I have gotten in the last 30 days.....

Had a tor warned cell pass north of me by 10 miles or so, couplet was decent but not hearing any reports yet of ground truth, sky is insane though lots of fast moving low swirly scud etc......

94L isnt looking horrible this afternoon, still with the big front ( for July anyways ) coming there is little threat of anything too major happening, if it somehow made it far enough north or even inshore over SC/MC it could bump rainfall totals quite a bit though.....

last few days under the excessive heat warming have not been as hot as Tues/Wed were......a bit lower dews have held the heat index to "only" 105"ish this weekend versus 110+ earlier in the week.....we have only had one sub 90 high day since June 24th and that was a 87, so almost a month straight of 90 or better for the high......however 90-91 is the average high here this time of year so we are only running +3.4 for the month.....and that will drop some after next week's below normal stretch.

Once again it died right on my doorstep.......still I will take a 10 min heavy shower over nothing and the breeze made sitting on the porch to watch the few bolts I saw worth it.

my least favorite kind of weather is the nasty crap outside right now..... 17 13:15 SW 7 10.00 Fair CLR 95 77 56% NA 110 30.07 NA

Managed to get the heat index to 100 by 9:55 this morning...... 09:55 SW 8 10.00 Fair CLR 88 77 70% NA 100 30.09 NA

Got a few showers nothing to exciting everything very pulsey and I always seem to get them on the down side of the pulses lol....

Today makes the "heatwaves" we had earlier this year look silly, give me 98/60 any day compared to this crap..heat index of 104 before 11 am currently 90/77 just brutal out there.....the upside is if the storms can fire up there could be some pretty decent storms. Surface cape pushing 6k here already lol....

Got between 2-2.5" yesterday and last night, and close to 5" for the week....I had less than a .25" the previous 20 or so days though so it averages out lol.

I dunno about less humid but highs in the upper 80's is actually below normal for MBY this time of year,so the next 3 days technically will be below normal with highs only forecasted to get to 88-89....average high is 90 here until late July when it eases back down to 89 lol....

Yeah the rain was insane, we had 9-10" in just 3 hrs at one point, my parents house is on a hill and the rain was flooding the sub level due to water running down on the back of the hill putting 2-3" of water in parts of the downstairs. The wind was only bad for 2-3 hrs with gust to the low 70 mph range. Almost all the roads and bridges where washed out, we were stuck at my parents for 2 days before being able to get home 7 miles away, when we got home we actually had power there unlike my parents. It was only the 3rd day after the storm that the water in the river reached a level that caused the entire county to lose power, then there was no power for 4-5 days....no power, no water, temps pushing 95 it sucked. The one memory that sticks with me is how the grocery stores smelled after being without power for 4 days in 90 degree heat, they where allowing people in small groups in to food and the smell of all the meats and other stuff spoiling was gag worthy.....put me off grocery stores for months.

Low level cape is pushing 3500-4000 over eastern NC and SE SC.....

Soundings are a bit worrisome for NC tomorrow......latest 3k NAM suggest some discrete supercells and then a few MCS type bowing segments over central and eastern NC.......

Again it depends on where you are plenty of severe weather all over North Carolina today, easily verified the enhanced risk....

Maybe a CC drop with that tornado warning west of Grifton for several frames....

Around the 1:16 mark he seems to get into a little trouble when he turns to reposition and the drone drops and you can catch a glimpse of some leaves or small branches falling past at 1:20ish so