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Frog Town

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  1. Frog Town
    12Z Nam beginning to show it's hand. Before you get too excited, the stuff in Mid-Ohio is sleet and freezing rain. SE Michigan looks to take the cake with this one, at least with this model, on this run. We are getting into the NAM's "accurate" range.
  2. Frog Town
    or 4 weeks...but who's counting.
  3. Frog Town
    WE are clearly becoming more confident as the winter goes on. Starting a thread a week out back in December would never happen. IN this set-up I say SE but with the SE Ridge coming back to life it becomes a Monster. 2008 repeater for CMH...
  4. Frog Town
    I know I got shit for it, but he descending air mechanisms that dry slot produced, while it filled in, definitely did damage and changed the dynamics of the trowel making it more convective in nature. Hence the weird numbers everywhere.
  5. Frog Town
    The shitty thing about my location is, that once we got dry slotted the returns are becoming convective in Nature. Not that nice meso banding that was going on west of Toledo. I can count on one hand in my 45 years that everything lines up. This is a frustrating hobby.
  6. Frog Town
    This damn dry slot drives me nuts. Always seems to find me. Filling back in but I feel robbed.
  7. Frog Town
    Thanks for the reassurance. Dry slot and sleet lasting forever was getting me down. You still think Toledo north is in a good spot?
  8. Frog Town
    Last part of this in Southern Michigan is falling apart and going to under perform. Sorry.
  9. Frog Town
    Not sure what you're talking about??
  10. Frog Town
    I've got some property I'd like to sell you....it's reeealll nice
  11. Frog Town
    Especially with the antecedent conditions leading up to it.
  12. Frog Town
    Anyone have 12Z Euro data?
  13. Frog Town
    That looks to continue into next week, but that's a different thread. SE MI has definite reeled this one in.
  14. Frog Town
    I'd imagine Watches will pop up tomorrow. Local mets in Toledo are definitely downplaying things.
  15. Frog Town
    If you had to blend all the model output over the past few days, this would be it. Very GHDIII ish
  16. Frog Town
  17. Frog Town
    I think we are getting hood winked next week. It's one thing if the Canadian was showing cold, but it's the Euro showing it's hand, perhaps.
  18. Frog Town
    Everyone ignoring what the Euro is showing next week??
  19. Frog Town
    Those that are buying into the warm up next week, look at the difference between the Eruo and GFS. Night and day compared to each other. Euro says winter holds strong through next week. GFS says Winter is over. Curious what the Mets have to say about this??
  20. Frog Town
    I'll be back Tuesday....this is crazy.
  21. Frog Town
    Position of the Hudson Bay Low. Will always suppress/shear. It's king in this pattern.
  22. Frog Town
    Definitely not us. We are not normal. Normal people still rely on the 6 o'clock news...
  23. Frog Town
    An observation if you will. It's one thing when a bunch of us weenies are discussing and dissecting the possibilities with these storms a week out. But when local mets starting showing something 7 days out saying a snow storm is on the horizon, you end up with a skeptic public when two days later the forecast has made a 180 turn. They really should wait till 3-4 days out to even show a graphic. i.e. the 12Z Euro
  24. Frog Town
    12Z Gem is a complete whiff with large wave separation and basically an arctic frontal passage. Curious?
  25. Frog Town
    Doesn't explain the miss south....lol
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