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Normandy Ho

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Everything posted by Normandy Ho

  1. Jesus we got a youngin here talking all crazy. Talking slang and shit. This season is about to slang out a bunch of storms towards land this year. You can already tell how west based all the development is so far. Climate models thus far are nailing it
  2. I think once it gets within radar range and velocities start coming in they upgrade. that or when recon gets there in a few hours. Its an obvious TC though, its just how strong of a TS is it. its small as shit tho, Marco level small.
  3. Oof. Interesting times ahead. It’s closer to radar and looking very, very interesting.
  4. The spiral banding is there. Check out radar out of Jacksonvile on radar pro. Showers moving due SSE ahead of the low. It’s small but it’s there and it’s not weak I think. If I were to guess recon find a strong tropical storm in a couple of hours
  5. Coming into radar view from Jacksonville. Like I said NHC better hurry or somebody is getting an unforecasted tropical storm tmr
  6. NHC taking a gamble waiting on this. It’s a small system and can ramp up quickly. Don’t wanna wake up and have a random microcane slip under your nose. Circulation looks very stout now, albeit small
  7. Thus far the season is delivering exactly as expected. West based activity with lots of threats
  8. This is gonna be beryl. Well defined center with some convection getting going. Any kind of sustained convection and it’s instant classification
  9. Lots of vorticity off the nw Yucatán right now. It’s pretty far south though so I’m not sure it swings far enough north to get to the US. Lots of heavy rain north of the center though with the individual lobes roaring around the dominant southern one.
  10. Starting to get some solid vorticity / rotation going over the Yucatán peninsula now. TC genesis likely imminent once it moves over water
  11. I’m actually liking its chances based of current satellite. Nice turning along the trough and you can see it starting to pinch off and separate. Will it stay convectively active enough is the question
  12. I’m actually seeing more chances of the eastern lobe in the Carribean developing, swinging wnw around the top portion of the gyre, and then moving Slowly north into south Texas. The western lobe of the gyre has land interaction issues and will likely get pulled south very slowly while the eastern lobe rotates around.
  13. Basically hurricane Ike like wind damage from a MCS. Very very impressive
  14. The super cell / Meso is bending the squall line backwards . And as as said barnsdall is about to get smacked by a violent one
  15. Crazy interaction with the supercell and squall line incoming
  16. I’d watch the tail end Charlie heading just north of OKC metro. Low level jet will start cranking more so not ready to say bust yet
  17. I’m hoping for early initiation and results. Nighttime events suck for everyone (people watching, people going through it, people chasing, etc). Stay safe everyone!
  18. Part of me thinks it would be hilarious if after all this hype the season busted (meaning ends up just average or slightly below average). The parameters suggest, however, that this season will be a painful blow. Just have to hope for a bit of luck with tracks and intensity timing of each storm
  19. Will be interesting to see how these discrete cells interact with that bow echo moving towards Tulsa. Crazy dynamics at play!
  20. Thank you all for the great images and coverage. Will tune in tmr. Stay safe everyone
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