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Normandy Ho

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Everything posted by Normandy Ho

  1. Normandy Ho
    Yep. A long loop can be created documenting all phases. genesis, vortex coupling, failed and successful intensification attempts, and finally now its RI cycle.
  2. Normandy Ho
    Good news is this one will be in radar range the entire time until landfall. Still think it starts to intensify quickly tonight
  3. Normandy Ho
    I’m in the camp of “intensity forecasts are way underdone”. Can’t rule out a major at first landfall. It’s way way ahead of schedule and deepening quickly already. Models have always suggested this will be deepening on approach, suggestive of a favorable environment. I am interested in where the stall occurs.
  4. Normandy Ho
    Think they might need to pull the trigger soon. Lots of low level turning now and A good deal south of Cuba too.
  5. Normandy Ho
    Yea I was going to say, the consolidation looks to be happening just east of grand cayman. Would a stronger storm initially be influenced to hook more hard right in this setup?
  6. Normandy Ho
    A lot of the vorticity seems south of Cuba this morning. Not sure it affects track too much but it may have more time over water if it consolidates south of Cuba while moving WNW
  7. Normandy Ho
    I think the takeaway is as the storm first approaches the coast conditions begin to get very favorable, and continue to be so as the storm stalls. As @Windspeedsaid land interaction is key. Upwelling also might become a factor if it gets very intense before the stall
  8. Normandy Ho
    Yessir! First call is a stall somewhere west of Florida. Complicated setup with blocking madness
  9. Normandy Ho
    Thanks for the opportunity brother but I’m not disciplined enough to keep the titles updated lol. It’ll stay as a TD in the title thread throughout its life
  10. Normandy Ho
    Very interesting scenario being pointed by the models. Lots of rain coming for someone as the storm gets stuck and trapped. The euro even has it moving SSE across Florida and then up the east coast. Might be time for a separate thread?
  11. Normandy Ho
    Still some uncertainty as there is disagreement between the big dogs. GFS seems to be somewhat caving to the euro as it’s abandoned the idea of sending this west after the stall. Euro still thinks this is an east coast brusher.
  12. Normandy Ho
    Not seeing the juice with this one. Interesting how the euro and GFS seem to be split in two camps with respect to ultimate track
  13. Normandy Ho
    I think compared to this board the level of expertise and knowledgeable posters is just severely lacking over there. Additionally the moderators are absolutely childish and squash any and every inkling of disagreement. They treat posters like they are children which is ….. yea not for me. I was a longtime member there and when I found this place I never posted there again
  14. Normandy Ho
    You are doing the good work sir of sifting through the garbage to find the good stuff for us over here. You should get chris / wxman57 to come over here. That board is a wasteland What’s weird about this disturbance is…..where is it? I looked at satellite and there’s just jack shit out there. Gonna be interesting to see this unfold because the models are clearly latching onto something. Seems like a pattern for some kind of recurve near the east coast?
  15. Normandy Ho
    I do think overall numbers will underperform. I think I called for 26 total but I’m bringing that down a bit. I still think we get tons and tons of majors though
  16. Normandy Ho
    Gotta love the mini hurricane looking tornadic tropical supercells
  17. Normandy Ho
  18. Normandy Ho
    Yep beryl is wreaking havoc on the south today. Some of these hooks are scary
  19. Normandy Ho
    Tornado outbreak occurring in N LA and Texas.
  20. Normandy Ho
    I think the upper dynamics are so incredible that’s it’s basically turning this system into an inland hurricane. Family in Houston still can’t go outside because the winds are so strong
  21. Normandy Ho
    HUGE inland wind event still ongoing. Family still texting me I. Houston asking when the winds will stop. Just a monster of a storm
  22. Normandy Ho
    Family is ok but they all agree this is the scariest hurricane they have ever experienced. Fortunate does not even begin to describe how the upper Texas coast should feel. The way this thing was deepening at landfall even six more hours over water and we get monster hurricane winds well inland. Wild storm and good riddance. Enjoy your retirement.
  23. Normandy Ho
    The radar velocity data from Corpus Christi is very telling. The core of this hurricane is gigantic. There are portions of the southern eyewall well offshore with similar velocities as those near matagorda right now. Gonna be a long long night and morning.
  24. Normandy Ho
    Center now has 3 mesos rotating around it. Intensifying VERY fast. Frictional convergence might make things worse. This will be as bad as the derecho last month for Houston (and likely worse). Radar velocities steadily rising. Gonna be rough for my home city. Could have been worse though.
  25. Normandy Ho
    yep starting to crank just a little bit. family down near lake jackson says its getting windy.
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