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Normandy Ho

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Everything posted by Normandy Ho

  1. Normandy Ho
    Upgrade coming very soon. Seeing a 120 mph+ strike on the Antilles incoming
  2. Normandy Ho
    Considering guidance, the already impressive organization of this wave, and the ridge this will be running under: the islands are at substantial risk of a major hurricane strike from this system. The same goes for all interests beyond first landfall as well.
  3. Normandy Ho
    It should be noted that systems who are relatively strong / intensifying coming into the E CAR are far less likely to succumb to fast trades. Strong systems modify the trades ahead of them with their inflow, especially if they are intensifying. As an example, hurricane Maria. Other factors can induce weakening however, but I wouldn’t count on fast wind trades in the E CAR for this one.
  4. Normandy Ho
    Sometimes a season shows you who it is early. Believe it folks.
  5. Normandy Ho
    Jesus we got a youngin here talking all crazy. Talking slang and shit. This season is about to slang out a bunch of storms towards land this year. You can already tell how west based all the development is so far. Climate models thus far are nailing it
  6. Normandy Ho
    Yep it just got beheaded. Def was a TC last night tho
  7. Normandy Ho
    NHC classification policy is odd. It’s an obvious sheared TD / TS
  8. Normandy Ho
    I think once it gets within radar range and velocities start coming in they upgrade. that or when recon gets there in a few hours. Its an obvious TC though, its just how strong of a TS is it. its small as shit tho, Marco level small.
  9. Normandy Ho
    Oof. Interesting times ahead. It’s closer to radar and looking very, very interesting.
  10. Normandy Ho
    The spiral banding is there. Check out radar out of Jacksonvile on radar pro. Showers moving due SSE ahead of the low. It’s small but it’s there and it’s not weak I think. If I were to guess recon find a strong tropical storm in a couple of hours
  11. Normandy Ho
    Coming into radar view from Jacksonville. Like I said NHC better hurry or somebody is getting an unforecasted tropical storm tmr
  12. Normandy Ho
    NHC taking a gamble waiting on this. It’s a small system and can ramp up quickly. Don’t wanna wake up and have a random microcane slip under your nose. Circulation looks very stout now, albeit small
  13. Normandy Ho
    Thus far the season is delivering exactly as expected. West based activity with lots of threats
  14. Normandy Ho
    This is gonna be beryl. Well defined center with some convection getting going. Any kind of sustained convection and it’s instant classification
  15. Normandy Ho
    Lots of vorticity off the nw Yucatán right now. It’s pretty far south though so I’m not sure it swings far enough north to get to the US. Lots of heavy rain north of the center though with the individual lobes roaring around the dominant southern one.
  16. Normandy Ho
    Starting to get some solid vorticity / rotation going over the Yucatán peninsula now. TC genesis likely imminent once it moves over water
  17. Normandy Ho
    I’m actually liking its chances based of current satellite. Nice turning along the trough and you can see it starting to pinch off and separate. Will it stay convectively active enough is the question
  18. Normandy Ho
    I’m actually seeing more chances of the eastern lobe in the Carribean developing, swinging wnw around the top portion of the gyre, and then moving Slowly north into south Texas. The western lobe of the gyre has land interaction issues and will likely get pulled south very slowly while the eastern lobe rotates around.
  19. Normandy Ho
    Basically hurricane Ike like wind damage from a MCS. Very very impressive
  20. Normandy Ho
    25 / 17 / 10
  21. Normandy Ho
    The super cell / Meso is bending the squall line backwards . And as as said barnsdall is about to get smacked by a violent one
  22. Normandy Ho
    Crazy interaction with the supercell and squall line incoming
  23. Normandy Ho
    Watch the right turn in this one as well
  24. Normandy Ho
    I’d watch the tail end Charlie heading just north of OKC metro. Low level jet will start cranking more so not ready to say bust yet
  25. Normandy Ho
    I’m hoping for early initiation and results. Nighttime events suck for everyone (people watching, people going through it, people chasing, etc). Stay safe everyone!
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