From JB 5 Minutes ago:
But a wild card here and maybe why the GFS MIGHT score a coup in the ne (was like PSU almost beating Indiana) is how cold the water is off the east coast. May retard warming a tad NJ north
SST anomalies
That was exactly my point in asking what I did about whether the other models have moved toward the GFS or the other way around. I kept reading "looks more like the GFS" but I never heard anyone say the GFS looked any more like the other models.
So this is the question I ask myself. In the last 12 hours have all the other models started, in even the slightest way, to move towards the GFS, or has the GFS moved towards all the other models?
Agreed, first it was the GFS was on it's own. Then the high resolutions were thrown out because of range. NOW, the formally warm Euro is fully on board for the Norther tier, as is the Canadian. This could be very bad up here overnight Thursday.
Nam shows significantly colder surface temps than other guidance, including the GFS. e for surface temps at 12 z Thursday significantly colder than the other guidance, including the GFS.
I am on the SE side of Westminster bear Deer Park and Rt. 32...I am about 850 feet....what is your elevation and can you show some type of a map representation of where that height of the ridge is? Thanks