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leo2000

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Everything posted by leo2000

  1. leo2000
    All I want for Christmas is a nuke Blizzard!
  2. leo2000
    Yeah 18z gfs looks yucky lol. Here comes the Grinch lol.
  3. leo2000
    If we can get big jabs to the PV the pattern should last longer than just a couple of weeks. Also if the MJO gets struck in phases 7-8-1 and stays there. I really like the look of this cold just before Christmas. All credit goes to Bamwx.
  4. leo2000
    The cold pattern is transient?.
  5. leo2000
    You gotta lock the CFS Monthly if your a cold and snow lover.
  6. leo2000
    I don't know what is so wrong about a -PNA pattern. I am more worried about a +EPO , But that +EPO should be going away. I seen winters where the cold goes from the West Coast to the East Coast with a combo of -EPO and -PNA. We can have a trough west and trough east is what I am saying.
  7. leo2000
    The thing is this not the only December its been like this. Last December was like this too. Also the year before that one as well.
  8. leo2000
    Well with so much of it happening now maybe just maybe there won't be any more of it until April. But realistically, there will probably be another period later January. Then finally February-March it stays cold.
  9. leo2000
    Here's the rub though there usually is a lag time before we feels the effects of phase 7.
  10. leo2000
    I will gladly take that December 20th into at least January 19th. It also makes sense given we will be in a strong MJO phase 7 wave by then.
  11. leo2000
    I would think it will have a big impact. Especially knowing the AAM is going on the rise too.
  12. leo2000
    I hope you feel good soon Jerry!
  13. leo2000
    Oh yes hehe
  14. leo2000
    Looks like MJO is heading strongly into phase 7-8 if it can stay in those phases all winter. I would be happy.
  15. leo2000
    People keep mentioning how we are overdue for a ratter before but, we are really overdue for a wall to wall winter cold and snowy winter.
  16. leo2000
    What is going on?. Never seen such a difference in the EPS and GEFS ensembles models. It must have to do with the fact that the EPS has a tough time figuring out the EPO region. All credit goes to Bamwx on twitter. Just yesterday the GEFS was looking like this early yesterday. Then midday looked like this
  17. leo2000
    Dr. Judah Cohen is pulling the plug in Winter so that must mean the opposite will happen. My oh my what does this imply?. Possible Ural blocking make hit the PV hard?.
  18. leo2000
    Wasn't it like that last Winter too?
  19. leo2000
    Really need to get rid of that positive EPO. We can still work with a -PNA but please get rid of that positive EPO.
  20. leo2000
    It's been at the very end of the Euro Ensembles three runs in a row up hasn't moved up in time. It was mentioned that the GEPS has also supporting Euro Ensembles but the last run has been backing away from a full blown torch. The GEFS keeps getting colder in the long range.
  21. leo2000
    The skill level of the Weeklies have been terrible. Sure we have a La Nina but it's becoming more east based that should argue for a better Pacific more of a negative -EPO, +PNA.
  22. leo2000
    Sadly, the GEFS has been outperforming the EPS/CMC in the long range this fall season. We shall see if it's correct here as well. Hopefully, the first week of December is just a Pacific shuffling that ushers in a -EPO, +PNA pattern.
  23. leo2000
  24. leo2000
    What are the implications for the Northeast US when we get a east based basin wide La Nina?.
  25. leo2000
    Let's hope the -EPO holds this time.
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