Looks like winter is over with its official. IO indian dipole driving this warmth that we are experiencing now all throughout December, January as well as a very strong Strat vortex.
I know there has been some talk about the vortex becoming very strong possibly coupling with the troposphere. https://twitter.com/PvForecast/status/1325766530479632385/photo/1. Credit goes to Pvforecast.
The CFS and GEFS isn't seeing this super torch that the EPS is on. Thanks largely to the polar vortex blocking and muting a lot of this pacific puke from entering.
Not a betting man here. But looking at things looks like the Pna isn't so negative more like neutral and the EPO is somewhat positive going though into neutral to negative. NAO and AO going sharply negative. Last year at this time it was very different. I know some are saying that we are heading into a super torch for Christmas. I think it's possible that the Euro model is not seeing the blocking that the gfs and other models are seeing. The Euro has been performing very badly the last couple of months.
Winter Cancelled it's all over. 80's wasn't so bad at all.
https://www.upi.com/Archives/1984/01/11/1984s-first-snowstorm-blasts-East-Coast/5813442645200/
Lol, at least there is coastal storms showing up in the LR. A lot better than a few days ago. A basin wide weak el Nino isn't working so I see no problem with a La Nina like pattern. As long as I can get some possible blizzards out of it.
Finally some light at the end of the tunnel. Some coastal storms finally showing up in the LR it's better than them showing just more and more cutters. I have to imagine that at least one of these are going to materialize.
We have had great patterns without a good Atlantic before so what exactly is causing this snowless pattern with endless cutters?. A bad Pacific? The MJO that keeps going into the warm phases?.