leo2000

Any Mets on here thinking this big Volcano Eruption could cause a flip in the ENSO from La Nina to El Nino?. Apparently, volcanic eruptions I have heard do help cool the Earth's Climate.

That post was in error probably 24 inches of snow without the drifts.

I don't expect the RNA to be record territory this time.

It's hard to say with all the drifting 24 inches probably.

We are having a bad blizzard here. The snow was incredible this morning couldn't get the doors open. Environment Canada put us in a Winter Storm Warning but honestly should of put us in a Blizzard Warning. We had very little rain and ice. Shades of one of the bad blizzards that hit my area in 2015.

Yeah probably rushed there I am thinking at the earliest February 20th onward before we revert back to La Nina base state. Given how strong the -EPO and +PNA will be. Patterns like this one take a long time to break down.

That's true man there was not even snowplows back then.

I think my mother knows what she is talking about she is 68 years old. She has a very good memory and remembers things very well. Also very good at remembering phone numbers too. I am 37 years old. My father too when he was alive used to also tell me there was no such thing as rain, freezing rain or even ice pellets back then just snow. I think rain is obviously a common theme from March- November but not really for December, January and February.

Not in my latitude. I guess Climate Change is responsible for this. My mother told me 2014-2015 winter was like the winters she had when she was growing up.

Lol are you telling me it's normal to get rain in January?. Lol.

I know many are mentioning how good of a pattern this is. But if it's a very good pattern for snow and cold we wouldn't be have cutters showing up periodically. 2014-2015 didn't have any cutters. All big coastal blizzard like snowstorms.

Haha, the CFS has a completely different take on the pattern.

The La Nina never coupled this year. The CFS Daily looks nice

Most La Nina have warm Februaries?. They didn't last year and yes we had a La Nina last year too.

I think this storm could be a whopper of a Blizzard two feet of snow possible.

So we get a decent +PNA, -EPO?. +NAO to -NAO?.

If this run is correct that would be my hunch come true. Given how bad the Pacific has been do we really think we are going to have a positive PNA and negative EPO. Nah looks like a positive PNA there and a big positive EPO.

They did?.

What happened last winter and yes it was a La Nina last year too. The La Nina is slowly starting to die out.

Winters are usually back loaded now anyways. Front loaded winters seem to be a thing of the past.

Any favorite pattern change lol is over before it even begins according to these guys. Eric Webb @webberweather · 4h I generally agree. While the GEFS has been overzealous in the medium range of late trying to bring back the GOA ridge, the lower freq evolution of the troposphere & stratosphere suggest a prototypical late winter Nina +NAM/-PNA state returns by the end of Jan-early Feb Quote Tweet Dr Simon Lee @SimonLeeWx · 5h With the N Pacific ridge migrating poleward, GEFS spies the onset of the Alaskan Ridge regime for early-mid January -- bringing colder weather more widely to the US & ending a potentially record-setting Arctic Low regime. However: the Arctic Low regime then comes straight back... twitter.com/SimonLeeWx/sta… Show this thread

Oh would of loved to see the height map.

Where's the cold arctic air on that map though the whole continent is flooded with warm Pacific air. If it was a good Pacific pattern you wouldn't have low heights over AK. That looks like a positive EPO, positive PNA pattern. PNA good but EPO not good.

Typical EPS Bias with the lower heights in AK. As far as the GEFS goes I really hope it's right. Yes, many references going around this winter will be like 2014-2015.

Ok you know how unreliable those are right?. I really really hope your right though.