sbnwx85
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Everything posted by sbnwx85
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I thought we were getting a surprise lake effect band before looking at radar. Hard to tell how much has fallen with what was already on the ground but I can tell the ratios are phenomenal. Might be closing in on an inch? The best banding looks like it was just to my south.
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Rippage.
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I'm highly anticipating this now.
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Advisory coming for my neck of the woods.
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Oh yes. Your neck of the woods is going to get buried!
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Models are still all over the place with lake response to the arctic air incoming. Safe to say the lake belts are going to get some good snows coming up. Only concern might be that the air is too dry. Ice cover down my way is almost non-existent.
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Current battle:
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The lake effect potential next week on this side of the lake has my full attention.
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At 7:00 AM EST, South Bend [St. Joseph Co, IN] OFFICIAL NWS OBS reports SNOW of 4.10 INCH. SNOW DEPTH 6 INCHES. Some decent drifts out there.
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So beautiful.
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Rippage incoming.
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Got an inch in the ground after about two hours of snow. If we can keep this pace up we should get to about 5 inches by 12z.
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Light to moderate snow. Hard to argue against the HRRR for the Michiana area at this point. Expecting around 5 inches when I wake up early. Could make a run at 6.5 if snow showers continue Sunday.
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Finally starting to get it to snow hard enough to stick. Getting a coating on the cars. That block is no joke.
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Just very light snow here. No accumulation.
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Heavy virga here.
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Seeing the latest hi-res models, I don’t blame NWS for keeping the WSW to my west and south. But as a weenie I could make an argument for including South Bend. SREF mean plume here is over 6 inches. They even have a snowfall map that has South Bend getting 6-8. Either way, it’ll be a fun storm to watch evolve.
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IWX holding serve with the watch but did expand it northward to include the entire CWA. They're wording shows they're going with 4-7 in Michigan counties, 4-8 everywhere else.
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Weenie post: 3k NAM with a beautiful lollipop over St. Joseph County, IN. Lock that in.
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QPF may not be as high IMBY as other areas in the forum but the ratios should be a little better with colder air in place throughout. Going with 6.5".
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GFSv16 also keeps moisture hanging around longer during the day Sunday adding to much higher totals in northeast IN, northwest OH and southern MI. NAM dries things out quicker.
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Currently thinking 5-8 inches is a safe bet for my neck of the woods. TV mets forecasting anywhere from 3-6 inches to 6-12 inches. My station waiting until tomorrow to create a snow map.
