sbnwx85

In all my amateur winter storm tracking days I can’t recall seeing a solution like the GFS is showing. Euro seems more plausible just based on what my unskilled eye has seen before but someone with more knowledge can weigh in. Hoping the GFS is onto something because I’d love to see a 30 burger next week.

Classic GFS vs Euro. Who will win this round?

Keeping with the theme.

Yeah it won’t be a very productive weekend with all the model watching.

The 00z GFS run would be a dream come true for me and many other snow lovers. Snow starts at about 2 am Wednesday here and doesn’t stop until Noon on Thursday. Lock it in.

Maybe I've been oblivious until now...but College of DuPage is now offering some Euro data for free including Kuchera snow rates. The 12z is just now running on the site, but it's resource for those that want to see those maps and don't want to pay for them. https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/

Taking a page from the SBN book.

Got a couple inches of fresh snow this morning. Hopeful for about another 4 inches from the lake tonight thru Tuesday night. That could bring total since Saturday night to 10 inches, but now I'm dependent on lake-effect which is like depending on one-ply toilet paper. You hope it holds together.

I’d eyeball about 3.5 inches around Mt. Prospect. Looks like about the same or maybe a touch more back home in Mishawaka. Next clipper and lake effect look promising on the HRRR and RAP.

Nice banding setting up around the Twin Cities.

Will be enjoying this one at the girlfriends house in the northern burbs. Picked a good spot.

Got about an inch from lake-effect overnight. It's surprising we're only an inch below normal for the month, so far. However, we are way below average for the season.

IWX feeling the frustration of this winter: Confidence rapidly diminishes with the hybrid clipper to follow early next week. This northern stream wave will have some pacific moisture work, with a separate leftover closed low over the Four Corners likely ejecting east-northeast through the TN/OH Valleys by around Tuesday. It would fit the trend this winter if fgen/WAA snow passes north (or clips our far northern zones) and deeper moisture with the southern stream waves gets sheared well south...keeping the snow drought going. This is actually the model consensus at this time, but still worth monitoring going forward given all the moving parts and large spread in solutions.

Got a dusting of lake-effect so far tonight and it's lightly snowing. Counting my blessings.

@Hoosier and I going to be on either side of a healthy lake-effect event this week.

Pain.

It's pretty neat to follow a storm that impacts different parts the subforum twice...while completely missing half of the subforum.

GFS gonna try and have me back in the game very soon.

Would be nice to have the models ramp up an event as we get closer for once.

Ended up with about an inch of wind-blown lake-effect. About 30 minutes to my northwest, Niles, MI got over 8 inches. A spot an hour north of me got 22 inches. Gotta love lake-effect.

Keep that band moving south, please. So far just flurries here.

Main lake bands stay to my north on this side of the lake through Thursday night. There should be some impressive totals under the main banding of snow in Michigan. Hoping to squeak out 2-4 here.

That’s all I needed to hear!