Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Looking more like we're going to swing and miss this year. Our "epic" patterns get stuck in Day 15 - 20 eternally anymore. Next year is a La Nina so we can write that one off as well. Maybe 2025?
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25 in Reisterstown with clear skies.
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Advisory extended to SE Montgomery and Howard.
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Mesonet.umd.edu Our Frostburg site doesn't have the soil probes in yet because everything flash froze on us.
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Just checked our Keedysville site in Washington County and the 2 inch soil temp is down to 32 degrees.
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The past 48 hours have done real work on ground temps. The 2 inch soil temp on our Clarksville mesonet site is down to 33 degrees. It was 40 a few days ago.
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I agree with Frederick, use US 15 as the divider. Carroll I'd keep the same.
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Classic Dr. No. We are in fact, not a snow town.
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Correct. Saw a comment early about sampling and the 18z suite.
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RAOB data is only incorporated into 00z/12z.
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We're 48 hours from the event. Hope it's getting sampled better and we bust colder regionwide. Give everyone 3" - 5".
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Cool. Now we need a real model to shift towards it.
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Is the NAM any better for the nw suburbs crew?
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Wonder if LWX got an early peek at the NAM?
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Winter Storm Watch extended to Carroll County.
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For the NW suburbs crew:
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Parrs Ridge baby. It never fails @wxmeddler has done some research on it.
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That would be a great jackpot for my NWS COOP site in Reisterstown.
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Absolutely
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Eskimo Joe replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Feb 2 to 18 is the climo window in these parts for Top 10 snow events. If we can't manage at least 1 healthy warning level event this year in that window, then we are truly forever screwed. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Eskimo Joe replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Beyond HR 72, my preferred model suites are the 00z and 12z because they incorporate fresh upper air data. The Pacific Ocean is a data hole. While we have increased capabilities with GOES-R, nothing will beat a sampled atmosphere from an upper air balloon. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Eskimo Joe replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Spot on as usual. You can also see the Monocacy Valley snow hole illustrated. It seems to rear it's ugly head when there isn't sustained cold air draining into Frederick City. I know that's been the perennial bane of @catoctin wx and @Mrs.J
