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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Probably would be better in the future to avoid starting threads for potential events until we're within 72 hours of the event.
  2. Anyone forecasting normal or above normal snowfall for this winter is in trouble. We're down like 21-0 in the 3rd quarter and our offense is doing nothing.
  3. I haven't recorded a below freezing low temperature since Dec 21st.
  4. Saw NWS Pittsburgh post this. Here's some NBM data that covers a good chunk of the subforum. For reference, 5" of snow in 12 hours is the warning criteria in these parts. If these numbers hold, it's quite possible we're looking at a decent advisory level event with a jackpot to a low level warning event for the NW suburbs.
  5. CMC with old Pittsburgh - DC rule. If one location is getting 6"+ of snow, the other likely isn't.
  6. To be clear, I'm hoping for 3" - 5" of snow at home this weekend. We've been in a bad snow drought since 2016 as a region and folks are almost zero tolerance for another rug pull. That is complete understandable.
  7. This room should be filling again shortly. Absolutely ugly 12z suite thus far.
  8. Watch the 12z guidance absolutely shit the bed today. @WxUSAF wouldn't be safe anywhere.
  9. 06z EPS doesn't go past 90 hrs, IIRC. Here's the 00z EPS for you:
  10. ^IMO, it would take a complete miracle for that to be all or mostly frozen in these parts. If that happens I'm going streaking.
  11. Thermals did indeed tick better on the 06z GFS. Now let's get 1 more tick better.
  12. GEFS is breaking out deeper blues for I-95 back through I-81.
  13. Andy I love seeing you post here. It makes me hopeful .
  14. Is that a little pulse of TV snow moving into NOVA?
  15. What are you talking about? Strong antecedent high in Quebec is a must for snow in these parts. Too far east and we get southeast winds eating any surface CAD.
  16. That warm. Surface freezing line is almost into US 15. Hope @MillvilleWxis right about the Euro thermals being too warm.
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