My 2 cents on the 12z ICON:
1.) It's a low developing kind of late like the Euro. This is a con.
2.) It's an easy way to win. We have a developing storm riding a fresh cP airmass with falling temps. Everyone wins.
3.) This isn't too far off from a solid 4" - 8" event for everyone. Just need the coastal to slow down and develop a bit faster. Potential plus.