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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    It's been pretty neato up here.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Cautiously optimistic that someone sees a good storm today. My logic: Strong sun, no mid level crapola that we have to fight. Solid low level lapse rates Mid level lapse rates, while not amazing, aren't crapola to our NW where storms are firing. Decent shear We've got 1,000 j/kg ML CAPE too. That's good to see.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Watching coming shortly to our NW.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Latest mesoanalysis shows ~900j/kg of DCAPE. Fairly confident we get under a watch at some point today.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    New SWODY1. Don't sleep on the 50kt jet:
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Yea I got a foot in this one I guess. It's kinda a NW flow event with decent shear. It's been wet recently so we might see more trees down than usual. I honestly could see a sneaky ENH upgrade at midday if things look a bit more certain.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    HREF is pretty bullish for everyone north of I-66 and east of I-81 today.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    https://www.weather.gov/lwx/events_19980602#:~:text=Tuesday%2C June 2%2C began with,severe weather for the area.&text=Around 8%3A00 pm%2C one,county 911 center in Cumberland.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    If we can speed things up tomorrow by just an hour or two and get a bit more clearing, someone could get smacked bigly.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    M2.32" since midnight in Reisterstown.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    IAD, DAA, and JYO reporting heavy rain now.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Don't sleep on that activity in northern Loudoun County into Frederick.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    HRRR really nailing the placement of heavy precip this morning. Tries to target southern Maryland for the rest of the day with considerable rainfall.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    If you have state minimum, probably not.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, if your check engine light turns on tomorrow take it to a repair shop ASAP. You might've screwed yourself.
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Water starting to pile up in northern carroll county.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Surprised that Carroll County cell near Pleasant Valley isn't warned for the wet microburst potential.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Like clockwork, the convection is developing further north and east than what was progged by the guidance.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    This is a textbook setup for a couple of communities to get flooded out.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    MOD RISK WOO!!! WEDGES FOR EVERYONE! Wait. . .
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Big dewpoint disparity between Baltimore (low 70s) and Philadelphia (low 50s). This backdoor front might give us the lift we need to produce more widespread, efficient rain makers.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Meso guidance really liking the Potomac River counties this afternoon.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    It's probably over for us until tropical season. We're in the summer doldrums.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    The lack of shear and mid level lapse rates are killers today. Otherwise there would be some true gully washers forming.
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