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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    @H2O isn't gray'd and I am. What a time to be alive.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    I-795 special. Westminster smokes cirrus, Glyndon gets an advisory level event, and Pikesville is flirting with half a foot. Unreal.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    This setup is a great example if why you need some kind of Atlantic blocking. Without a mechanism to slow down this event it just whiffs right out to sea.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Let's not get carried away. We don't have blocking and this isn't some closed bowling ball coming out of Kentucky.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Snow falls at night on the NAM. Cold powder with solid lift in the DGZ and increasing winds. Legit warning event on the NAM.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    00z GFS will be huge. If it moves towards Euro/NAM, we're game on.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    NAM goes bonkers with the coastal. From 1006 off Georgia, to almost 980 off Chincoteague. Very Euro-esque.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Yea, NAM really wants to get the coastal going quicker than any other guidance. Man, if only we had some downstream blocking. Just a smidge. . .
  9. Eskimo Joe
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Folks, enough with the banter please.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Both the 12z and 18z Op Euro have a sub 980mb low passing Ocean City, MD. Pretty decent consistency. A lot of the ENS have that too.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    00z runs will likely have all the players sampled. Hold onto your hats.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Enough banter folks.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    This is good.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Yea, 12z EPS is about 30 miles west and much better for all 3 terminals.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    The good news is that we're almost inside 90hours, so we'll have most of the storm for the 06/18z Euro and less chance for big shifts as the event nears.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yo: https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/
  18. Eskimo Joe
    FWIW, JMA gets 6" of snow back to US 15. Easy money warning event.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    JMA is a hit.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Weeps in Flood Zone Brewing.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like you missed a frame or two. Storm total QPF on the Euro for you appears to be 0.6 - 0.7. Would put you in line for a 12:1 ratio.
  22. Eskimo Joe
  23. Eskimo Joe
    The thing that stings here is that if we had either a -NAO or 50/50 low, this would be a Top 10 snowstorm for the subforum.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    That would put DCA at 110% annual snowfall. Considering that 5 out of the past 6 winters were below average, that's great.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Beautiful leaf on the NW side.
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