Jump to content

Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    22,485

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Experimental WISC CIMMS placefile on GR suggests decent wet miroburst, marginal tornado risk with the line.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Tornado Watch until 22:00 UTC. CC: @yoda
  3. Eskimo Joe
    SVR for DC metro.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Latest HRRR has a decent 2nd line coming through during prime heating. Currently visible satellite shows outright clearing behind this first batch so it's certainly possible.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Just hit 70 degrees at home. Airmass really has that soupy feel.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    The TOR warned cell in VA is about to enter a decent airmass for QLCS tornadoes:
  7. Eskimo Joe
    LWX issues Tornado Warning for Spotsylvania County.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Mesoscale Discussion #936: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2022/md0936.html
  9. Eskimo Joe
    More Bedford, VA images coming in.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Noteworthy uptick in CG on the TOR warned cell. I know there's some literature out there about the relationship between CG and sustained updrafts so maybe this one has legs?
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Cell near Strasburg, VA looks like it's trying to do something.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Definitely some okay breaks in the clouds south of US 50 in Maryland.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    TOR coming out for Goochland.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Latest SPC mesoanalysis has between 500 - 100 SBCAPE tongue ahead of the main line up from NOVA into Gettysburg. I know @Ian has posted in the past about how sneaky these ribbons of SBCAPE can in environments like this.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Nice SigTor parameters building in across NOVA and even a bit into Frederick County.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    I'm...somewhat more intrigued about our potential today. Over/under for LWX CWA: TORs issued: 5, 2 confirmed when it's over SVRs issued: 24 FFW issued: 6
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Decent clearing behind this first line. Would definitely help with any progged afternoon activity.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Taking a look at visible satellite, it's pretty clear the CHO storm is the main player with this first line. You can see it bubbling up compared to the low stratus clouds elsewhere.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Mesoscale Discussion #934: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2022/md0934.html
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Definitely sounds like a tornado occurred in Bedford, VA.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    I have a feeling that Lynchburg cell is going to produce another TOR today. It seems to be coupled right with the warm front.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    I'd be surprised if we get that. We'd need more sun to get the updrafts rooted to the surface. 10% TOR on SWODY1 = ENH.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Secondary action appears to be over central Kentucky. If we get clearing it's behind this lead stuff then we get the next line with the cold front.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. Today is going to be a weird day. That TOR cell SW of Lynchburg has the Frederick Tornado Zone™ written all over it. Took a quick look at the SPOC archives and I agree.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    After sunrise but before noon. Sometimes when we get these remnant showers/weak storms entering early on a day progged for severe weather they have just enough juice left to spark a rogue weak tornado or some other kind of pre-game action.
×
×
  • Create New...