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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Wonder if LWX is waiting for the Euro to come out before they make a decision on any watches.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    That's typical. QPF forecasting for systems that have several mesoscale features will waffle around. Only thing I've noticed over the years is that we see the axis of heavy rain wind up a bit further north and east from where the short term guidance shows up.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Seems the meso guidance pushing PWATS close to 3", while the globals only around 2". Wonder if that's a resolution issue, or if the short term guidance is keying in on something the globals might be missing out on.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Yea that's a big yikes.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    @WxUSAFreturns and the rain runs away.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    With all the new development NW of Historic EC, I don't think it's going to do much.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    NAM NEST is....problematic. Has several 6 - 8 jackpots in the NW suburbs of Baltimore and DC.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Sligo Creek flashes quickly, but it also goes down fast. The USGS gauge in Takoma Park shows we're down to baseline.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Yea some of the CAMs are really starting to hit in on the 4"+ mark for spots. If that happens, especially in the metro areas, that's going to be a problem. EDIT: Even the Euro has a stripe of 3" - 5" from DC up through Baltimore and over to the eastern shore.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Tomorrow into Saturday is the kind of setup that fails 9.99/10 times. But that 0.01 times it works out we get floods and tons of low budget spinny danger noodles.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a very low topped supercell trying to get going near Taneytown.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Yea I just don't see it happening today. Now watch it just pour.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Hey there's a flood watch for DC metro.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    TOR for Worcester County, MD
  15. Eskimo Joe
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Source?
  18. Eskimo Joe
    2nd weaker rotation near Waterbury, AA county.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Gate to gate shear on the tornado warned cell.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    SVR with TOR possible tag for Howard, PG, MoCo
  21. Eskimo Joe
    TOR possible now on the King George, VA cell.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Low budget meso: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2022/md1379.html
  23. Eskimo Joe
    //time sensitive// Take a look at the visible loop. Looks like a little swirl or vort max near Pittsburgh diving SE. Might be what's going to trigger our line this afternoon.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    13z HRRR is nice too, but it seems to be on an island.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Just asking for one or two nice weeks where we torch well into the mid/upper 90s and my tomatoes can finally take off.
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