Itstrainingtime

.39" of beautiful rain. No wind, no hail, very little lightning and thunder. We just had a very nice...rain.

23 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Just a few scattered drops thus far. Fingers crossed for a line to move through later. 

Not a drop here yet. 

33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Pop up headed toward MJS and ITT at the moment.  No guarantees, just a PBP post of facts at that moment.  LOL 

That storm is now weakening over York County. Big storm north of me which doesn't help my cause.

Welcome to Itstrainingtime 2023:

Absolute #SevereWeather chaos in the Lehigh Valley right now. Southeastern PA and most of the Lower Susquehanna Valley are currently being spared, but more storms currently firing up across western PA should impact the region between 5-9 PM.

Storms are beginning to “train,” or move repeatedly, over the same locations in the Lehigh Valley. As a result, the flash #flooding threat is ramping up quickly, and some smaller streams and creeks could soon overflow their banks.

6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The Cumberland, MD line is growing, hopefully it can extend south a bit and get the southern LSV counties into play later. 

Yep, that's probably our chance. 

6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I had a spotter over 2.5" just East of M-Burg (Not far from naval center, hence my comment earlier). 

I haven't had a spotter since 45 years ago when I inadvertently got on the school high bars...

MU gettin' all wound up:

BOOM goes the dynamite! Storms are exploding across eastern PA and producing hail, locally damaging winds, frequent lightning and torrential downpours. Severe T’storm Warnings extend from northeastern Lebanon County into the Lehigh Valley.

Will this activity rob significant convection chances for later?

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

That is missing my casa now by about 1.5 miles.

The cell north of Lebanon is the granddaddy currently. 

2 minutes ago, canderson said:

Couple tstorm warnings now in Lebanon/Schuylkill counties 

That thing north of Lebanon exploded out of nowhere. 

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Larger cell fired up NW of E-Town. 

That is missing my casa now by about 1.5 miles.

The cell north of Lebanon is the granddaddy currently. 

1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said:

They expanded the enhanced risk further west.

Sure did! Got most of the LSV in it now. 

3 minutes ago, canderson said:

I hear thunder.

Special Weather Statement just went up for that cell - hey, another Harrisburg jackpot.  

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Also, the broken line (it congeals for Lanco and East) now being shown on the 3K does not come through until mid-evening.  At 6Z it keyed on energy earlier in the day but has backed it out to what it was showing yesterday.  So, that is 6-7 hours away and cannot call bust on that one yet :-) 

I was thinking about that when I was reading MU's thoughts - originally it seemed like the "prime time" for us was this afternoon, but he extended the active weather until 10pm this evening. 

Bust calls have commenced from our southern neighbors. 

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Funny how close we are this month....both monthly and "wet period".  We had to resume watering this AM.  

Yes sir...meanwhile, a detailed update from MU moments ago:

(1/3) A vigorous, upper-level disturbance over the Great Lakes region and potent, surface cold front will combine to trigger showers and scattered severe thunderstorms across northern MD and central/southeastern PA between ~2-10 PM today..

(2/3) The warm, humid & highly unstable air mass ahead of the front will support locally damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph, large hail, isolated tornadoes & flooding of low-lying/poor-drainage areas. Partial sunshine is already fueling the instability, & dewpoints are near 70°F..

(3/3) Tree, powerline & roof damage are likely in the hardest-hit locations, & large hail could damage roofs & vehicles. A Flood Watch is in effect for eastern PA. If a #SEVERETHUNDERSTORMWARNING or #TORNADOWARNING is issued, seek shelter in an interior room/basement immediately!

11 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Happy late Monday morning y'all.  So I only caught the edge of that storm that dropped 2" near Landisville that @Itstrainingtime mentioned, to the tune of .09".  My five-day total is now .59".  Pretty meh depending on what happens with today's and tomorrow's storms.  For the month I am at 2.49"; for the year 13.9".  Staying positive *he whimpers*

I'm at 2.12" and .67", respectively. Hoping for rain minus severe. 

2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

The Cowboys are red hot.

 

 

Our son is questioning his move to Houston. Relentless heat and humidity. I was talking to him yesterday and encouraged him by telling him he only had another 3-4 months to deal with the extreme part of it.   

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
349 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023

PAZ042-053-058-059-066-270000-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0002.230626T1800Z-230627T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sullivan-Columbia-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Laporte, Lancaster, Berwick, Pottsville,
Bloomsburg, and Lebanon
349 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following
  counties, Columbia, Lancaster, Lebanon, Schuylkill and Sullivan.

* WHEN...From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of small creeks,
  streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding
  may occur in poor drainage and urban areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Thunderstorms with locally heavy rain are expected across the
    watch area this afternoon and this evening. Rainfall amounts
    of 1-2 inches with localized amounts up to 4 inches are
    possible. These totals may result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

SPC actually backed the day 1 SLGT further west into central PA:
 

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

I would be happy with a 1/4" of sweet rain.   Stuck on mow 8 and no signs of going to 9. 

I doubled you yesterday- #16 is in the books. Agree on the rain, 2 days of being so close with nothing to show for it is frustrating.

Confirmed 2.35" of rain this afternoon in Landisville. 

Sharp cutoff tomorrow's severe potential across the SE part of our area - Harrisburg north and west is Marginal, parts of Lancaster fall under Enhanced with the Slight in between.

So far everything has avoided Maytown. In laws got crushed with hail and heavy rains in Landisville.

My forecast high today is 83 - at 11:15am it's already 82...

Third-ed - State College is magical, and probably a better place to spend a weekend than Austin.