HillsdaleMIWeather

Day 1 Enhanced, no real changes from the Day 2

IWX aviation update clues into what there thinking .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday Night) Issued at 1246 AM EDT Sat Jun 17 2017 Upstream convection from the next system extended from extreme east IA into far southern WI early this morning. Mentioned VCTS at SBN 08-12 as some of these storms may be able to make it into northwest Indiana before they dissipate later this morning. Mentioned VCTS by late afternoon at both sites as daytime heating combined with increasing low level theta e convergence may be enough to trigger a few storms. There will be a much better chance for storms early tonight, especially over northwest Indiana as a more substantial system moves into the area.

This is starting to appear much more interesting with the newer and newer runs

Yeah, so far tonight it's much clearer than models we're progging

Clouds cleared out damn fast tonight, hardly a cloud in the sky now.

Day 2 Enhanced, SPC stresses however probs could be increased and expanded as evolution becomes clearer

Yikes.

18Z 3K NAM shows a quite large MCS

Day 3 Slight Risk due to the uncertainty

Saturday still looking like it could be a good wind producer

Noticed iembot has been acting up the last couple days, now it's no longer displaying Special Weather Statements

Small watch was issued for the western part of the MCD

18Z GFS is pretty damn gnarly for the western portions of the sub

Hit 91 unofficially today, 90 at the airport.

If we get great destabilization, we could be in for some fun.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Central Lower MI

May wanna rename the thread title lol Also, that MCS in Wisconsin is surprisingly good

Day 1 and 2 Marginals. It's definitely summer.

3K NAM this evening crapped out something a little interesting

SPC holding off for now.

Today's 0Z GFS run would be remarkable, hot, humid, and stormy as hell.

Looks like an MCS could be possible Saturday night, especially in Wisconsin.

This weekend could offer us SOMETHING at least.

That tornado was a damn big surprise. Next shot at Severe for the majority of the subforum looks to be Saturday Night

Just for a laugh, here's a sounding on the long range GFS