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WestMichigan

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Everything posted by WestMichigan

  1. GRR is really questioning the Euro run The ensemble mean of the upper air pattern has shown that the streams do not split, and most of the energy slides across the southern tier of the country, leaving the northern tier with a cool and unsettled weather. The new 12z Euro deterministic run looks to over-develop the upper system, which is a known bias of the Euro. With this in mind, we will keep the cool temperatures in place for next Monday, with low chances of showers.
  2. I never know where you are gong to pop up next. You sure do move around a lot. Welcome back to the GRR forecast area where you can be negelected almost as much as the Battle Creek area.
  3. Ended up with the 4th cloudiest January in GRR with only 8% of possible sunshine. It was a snowy month thought with 31.3" erasing at least some of the yearly snowfall deficit. Temps ended up 2.3° warmer than normal. It would have been nice to hold on the the middle of the month weather a little longer.
  4. Does 1.99 or 2.00 really matter other than for classification purposes? I don't think the atmosphere is going to say oh, it is only 1.99 so I need to behave differently.
  5. 6z GFS doesn't look too bad. There is some ice, but nothing gets out of control.
  6. Similar here but not quite as much. GRR is reporting 13" snow depth and a peak of 15" a couple of days ago. 28.6" so far this month at the airport which brings us to less than 9" below normal for the season. Quite the turnaround for a sub 2" December. Even the monthly temperature departures might go negative after today. This has been a great week for the west wind favored LES areas for sure.
  7. After 25+ inches for the month, GRR is now within 10" of the normal YTD snowfall.
  8. Went from 12 to 1 with a strong south wind. Not often that a S wind brings cold air around here. Cold air wrapping around the lake does weird things at times.
  9. Is it still snowing up there? We are still getting snow here. Somewhere around 2 feet seems like a good guess but with the wind I feel like Hawkeye saying I really have no idea how much has fallen.
  10. need to really cash in on this part since the initial phase was lower than expected
  11. Do you actually think that is accurate?
  12. Not sure how any of you are measuring snow. Any flake that lands in my yard is melting in Lake Michigan about 30 minutes later with all this wind.
  13. The lack of agreement between the models even this close to an event is surprising.
  14. Fighting virga here. Every once in a while I see some flakes but nothing of substance yet.
  15. GRR hasn't posted any maps yet. I think they are too hesitant to make a call right now. The days long LES after this should really help stack up the snow. Might be time to break out the XC skis.
  16. Not to interrupt the Chicago discussion but on the East side of Lake Michigan it is looking pretty good.
  17. 6z GFS says wait a minute, and it may be the kiss of death, but it looks like Central OH might get some snow.
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