WestMichigan

If only the GFS would verify. Nearly 3' IMBY. However the Euro says no way. Give me less than 12". Either way, definitely looking to double my YTD snowfall and maybe more.

Early on you are correct, but any time after 84 hours or so any place down wind of the Great Lakes will wind up being the winner. Looks like the lakes will finally produce snow in many of the normal LES regions.

To @A-L-E-K and all the others that immediately slapped the weenie tag. Several days out I said pick the model lowest snow in the GRR area and that would be correct. Well, it looks like that was the correct answer. https://www.weather.gov/images/grr/wxstory/Tab3FileL.png?7218d30f4377734d0f4e99a5d1f9208c

Given the lack of any significant snow in my area on the models I can assure you the more southern route is definitely the correct solution. You just can’t make it snow more than a few inches in the vicinity of GRR this year.

Euro has this dying as it heads east. Really shears out after peaking in the IA/W IL area.

I haven't seen 12" yet either. Just broke double digits for the year earlier this week. Here's hoping a warm lake and some friendly winds/850 temps during the month of February for both of us.

I feel your pain, GRR is 34" below average. Since I am closer to the lake, I am guessing I am a little below 40" below normal. Anyway, congrats to finally seeing some snow up there!

Goth the GEFS and EPS would be a little nicer if they could just shift a county or two north. Overall looking good for those along the IN/MI border.

Wish you cold send some of that down to this part of the state. LES has been anemic all winter long.

Where did you hear that?

Should be a very easy target to reach.

You are so full of yourself. Stop riding Angrysummons so hard. I don't agree with everything he posts, but he is allowed a voice. You want to silence any opposition to anything you don't like. Also, you just put down most of the forum according to you because only the "good posters" saw it and everyone else was to slow to figure it out. I am not saying you have to like him or agree with him, but just ignore him if you don't like his posts.

At this point I'll take my chances with any amount of precip. Above normal would be a good thing.

Not sure you have to go too far back at least at GRR although we are pushing some futility records at this point but that looks to change. First the boring part: For most January`s in Southwest Michigan getting more than 4 days in a row with no precipitation is unusual. However, in this January, it is looking like we can get at least 6 days and if the 00z ECMWF is correct we will get 8 days in a row with no measurable precipitation! If the 00z GFS is correct, it will only be 6 days. So, just how unusual is getting a week of no precipitation in January at GRR? Well the last January at GRR with at least 7 days in a row with no measurable precipitation was 2013. In that case, we had a trace of precipitation each day. In 2012 we had 8 days with no precipitation at all from the 4th through the 12th. Since 2013, the longest string of no precipitation days has been 5 day in 2019. For most January`s at GRR stings of more than 4 days happens less than once a year. And now the futility part: Since at GRR, we will by then be in 2nd place for the least snowfall on record for the season (through the 15th, assuming it does not snow until then) with only 7.5 inches of snow, this could be the change, those who like outdoor winter sports are looking for. By the way, first place for the least snowfall for the season, by the 15th of January, is 7.2 inches in 1906.

Talk Talk about a putrid calendar year for snow!

I see the blank spot in Indiana so I feel your pain in that regard, but who on here really thinks that map will pan out? I just don't see LA, MS, AL getting that much snow.

About 3" around here Christmas Eve/Christmas Day. Made for a nice white Christmas. Unfortunately LES also melts fairly quickly if there isn't much of it and I am just down to drifts left in the yard now.

Can I pull an ALEK here ^toss

Never, even a little snow is way better than futility.

I'll take 200 miles west

Talk about futility - the snowfall deficits are going to be very hard to overcome on this side of the state.

Let's hope you are correct. Earlier the models were saying more of a N/NNW wind which would give me nothing while 10 miles west gets hit. They are thankfully showing a little more westerly component now which is good for me.

The theme of the winter. Everything skips right over my county. I realize this is light precip and maybe not even reaching the ground but snow north and south is the story of the season here.

You can't even make this stuff up anymore. 12Z NAM (I don't really think it will play out like this, but it is too funny to pass up.) Guess where I live???

I am right there with you. GRR is going to be at a 20"+ snowfall deficit for the year after this week. They have only recorded 0.4" for the year with is 0.3"+ more than I have. Still waiting for your first measurable snow in an area that average close to 80" a year is pretty bad.