NeonPeon
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Everything posted by NeonPeon
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Some of these towns should not rebuild. That's the sad calculus, but its the answer.
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There isn't a forecasted track though, in my mind. There's a probabilistic range. That's all they ever talk about. They won't shut up about it. Maybe they shouldn't draw the median line.
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People keep referencing the hurricane deviating from "the path." It was within the cone of uncertainty, no? Slower than expected. People were given very actionable lead time as far as I can see.
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Europe has overhead transmission lines in rural areas and over long distances. They don't have overhead local distribution in denser areas. America does, and america is less dense, but more of that has to do with the us allowing rampant, ugly sprawl to occur anywhere, and it's invention of the disaster that is the modern car dependent suburb. If everywhere else that is developed can afford to bury power, so can the usa, but if it's a major transmission line here, that's not the issue. The larger issue is needing the line in the first place to service thousands living in an area that will constantly, and increasingly meet with disaster.
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Could we not bring attention to those who seek it?
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It would take a long, long, long time for the people of New Orleans to starve.
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You are describing the majority of development in the united States.
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Slowing down to move north? I hope it used its indicator.
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Eyewall looking less perfect on radar at the moment. Erc? Or just fluctuation? Speaking mostly about how the SW outer band is pulled in.
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Her preferred gender pronoun is her, but she told me that she's sick and tired of the male gaze. A chief complaint is the saffir-simpson scale. Looking her up and down all day, then rating her on a scale two white men came up with? Figures.
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You don't have to bury all of your distribution line. It should just not be above ground where significant densities of people live. The uk has above ground cable too, but it is in the country. I would expect a less dense country to have more of it. I would not expect towns to use it, nor the area around cities. In addition, you obviously don't do it all at once. But every time you have an opportunity to do it due to other utility work, you do it. And every time you make new development that's dense you do it. But yes, of course I'm dreaming. I fully expect the us to keep underinvesting in its horrible electrical grid, and I fully expect everyone to keep ignoring the economic cost of that. I likewise expect it to continue to design around car dependency, and generally not give a shit if everything it allows to be built is ugly.
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Or they do care, but they are speaking from their experience, and making the only local observations they can. It's pretty easy to see that this event was on the lower end of the envelope of predictions, though still reasonably well forecast. No one thinks there aren't some places with more severe impacts. The storm is just very very small, and the impacts from wind in particular are more limited than many forecasts. The drum is always beaten about not being obsessed with the exact point of landfall due to widespread effect. This makes sense before an event due to uncertainty. As it's unfolding though, it's clear that the western part of ri for instance had far far more damage than the entire east bay. We are talking a few miles.
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I think the richest country on earth can pay to have itself not look like it just wired itself up over the weekend while drunk. An unreal amount of money needs to go into the usa's energy infrastructure. Doing it properly and beautifying the entire country should be possible, if it's possible virtually everywhere else in the developed world.
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I didn't go down Bellevue, but that area, with large, dumb lawns, leading up a slight hill from the coast, to lone trees, is a recipe for this. I didn't see much like that video. But I don't have any friends on Bellevue!
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I toured the damage in Newport by bike, which says it all. Some limbs, esp right on the water. That's it. Less than a moderate noreaster. Normally the Northeast side of a storm like this has teeth, but not if there no longer is an east side to the storm at all.
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Where, on ocean drive?
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Highest gust so far for me in Newport was 34mph. Wind is now slackening inside eye. Will cease raining in 30 mins.
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Lol Munroe just made the milk delivery. It's normally tomorrow but they changed it to today... Because of the hurricane. They must really love their drivers.
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Dude. You seem to be assigning me thoughts and feelings I don't have. This has been very well forecast imo. I was aware of a threat and prepared. It doesn't need to be on the upper end of a range of possibilities for that preparation to make sense. Indeed, a tree could still fall on my house, though I tend to doubt it. I don't think I know anything much, not am I second guessing anyone. I can however look at radar, as well as a weather station, and a window. I'm not rip and reading qpf, but I'm also simply not seeing where crazy wind intensity is going to come from, here, right here, the only place I made a comment about. I'm not talking about busts. I'm not whining, I'm not talking about anywhere else. I said I'd briefly pass through the edge of the small core of the storm as it deteriorated, and thereafter there will be little rain. Thats a statement of fact.
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Ok man, it's going to be epic. I'm in the eyewall now. I take it all back. The rain is literally splattering me as I write this from my porch. I'll begin chaining myself to the deck chair, it's quite breezy.
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You can interpret it as a whine if you want. Every single forecast leading up to this showed a very stark west to east cut off.
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Its halfacane. Sensible effects are on the west side of it. I'll be walking around in a couple hours.
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Well, it's a rapidly deteriorating core and a halfacane. It looks to me that since it's moving nw, we will get a piece of the core for a short time, and then be in drier air with some wind. I suppose I should define what I mean by "largely miss."
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It's looking like Newport will largely be missed.
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Breaking damage report. My evening primrose has been toppled. I estimate a 18, maybe 19 mph gust. Incredible scenes.
