snowman19
-
Posts
8,783 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by snowman19
-
Yep. Trees and telephone poles down galore in my area. Numerous reports of thundersnow with that storm too. Real strong elevated convection, I remember the NAM soundings being dead on from the 12z run, showing off the charts CAPE instability with intense UVVs. HM was still active in these forums at that point and I remember him saying there was going to be a lot of lightning/thunder with the band that formed
-
The frontogen/deform band from the storm that hit around the afternoon rush hour St. Patrick’s Day week (I forget the actual date) back in 2018 was insane. It was the heaviest snow I ever saw in my life. Cars were stuck on almost every road I turned down coming home from work. It was easily snowing at 4” per hour at one point, true white out conditions
-
It’s a total embarrassment and it pulls this crap literally every March and early-mid April….shows historic blizzards and 20, 30, 40 inches of snow over a 16 day period, which ends of verifying as not even so much as a trace. Complete circus show
-
I enjoy the entertainment value
-
And just like that…..the unbelievably horrendous, outlier GFS completely caves to all the other guidance for Friday. Poof! It’s gone! Literally the worst model there is, hands down. Not even worth looking at anymore
-
Close your eyes and what do you see?
-
And there is no support from any other models. Zero, zilch, nada, zippo, nothing. Literally not one other model (EURO, CMC, EURO-AI, ICON, UKMET, NAM, RGEM, NBM) looks anything at all like the GFS. It’s in a universe all to its own again and it’s going to be wrong again. People can track GFS digital snow ghosts all they want, that’s their right. They’ve been doing it since November, so why stop now?
-
IMO an El Niño (even weak) for the fall/winter is looking less and less likely by the day
-
More digital, phantom snow from the Garbage Forecasting System!!
-
Unfortunately Friday isn’t looking good. My little cousin has his 1st high school baseball scrimmage on Friday afternoon. Looks like that may be in jeopardy now
-
It’s doomed. Joe Bastardi is already hyping it as a snowstorm. He’s the unequivocal kiss of death for northeast snowstorms
-
Yea, interior, elevated Northern New England….
-
NYC has a chance of rain. Try again in December
-
Try again in December. It’s been over and done since 2/20
-
The biggest drought in the NYC metro area in over 23 years but according to some, nothing to see here. Normal. Fake drought. It’s not real…..
-
We were close to 90 degrees back in March, 2012. It was right after St. Patrick’s Day. It was the earliest in the year I can ever remember having to turn my A/C on
-
The peepers are already out again at night. A sure sign spring has arrived
-
The lone exception since mid-August. Literally every event has trended to less QPF for the last 7+ months. The drought/dry cycle continues….
-
Because the GFS sucks
-
61 here. Warmest it’s felt in the sun since mid-November
-
I can see a cooler April maybe but as far as the Mark Margavage and Joe Bastardi wishcasts that deep winter is coming back for the east, cold and snow the end of this month into April…….they need to put down their crack pipes…….
-
It’s been over since 2/20
-
We’ve already seen wildfires in Long Island and in New Jersey and it’s not even mid-March yet. Usually brush fire season doesn’t really get going until late March. If it doesn’t start raining a lot very soon we are going to have a very bad spring with wildfires galore. The disturbing part is, aside from last week’s rain event, everything since mid-August has trended way drier on guidance as we move closer in time. And we keep seeing high wind events….it’s been relentless since October
-
Shocker! Yet another stratospheric event that is going to fail to downwell and couple with the troposphere. Same old story for 5 months in a row now. The Joe Bastardi wishcasts/dreams of a big winter return late month are toast
