48 degrees in Sloatsburg, heavy rain showers mixed with some hail. Extremely unstable/convective right now, cumulus congestus and towering cumulus all over with breaks of sun
The projected Niña strengthening being forecasted by the models looks credible given the atmospheric and oceanic states. It’s starting to look it a very real possibility that we see a La Niña for the 3rd winter in a row
Nothing is guaranteed in weather obviously but I see some good signs that this April won’t be like those years and could actually turn out warmer and drier than normal
There are some signs that April may end up being a lot warmer than some people think right now. I don’t think it ends up anything like last April. I also think we start torching in May
The Euro now has a torch (70F+) day late next week on the new run. So much for that sustained arctic cold into April. This is probably the beginning of the Euro backing off on the length of the cold shot as we draw closer in time
Agreed, if we actually do go into a true -AMO along with the -PDO, I wonder if we may see a drop in temps (probably will be very little) or the warming may stop for awhile? But it would be interesting to see what the result is on global temps
The Atlantic is definitely starting to take on a -AMO look….wonder if this is the beginning of another long term -AMO cycle. If so, we may be seeing a lot more +NAO in the years to come, a la the 1980’s….
Yea, that would have definitely been a textbook, honking KU snowstorm signal for sure a month ago….too little, too late now…there’s always next winter….
Let’s hope the EPS is too aggressive with the blocking just as it was all winter, there was a time when the EPS was showing early to mid-March to be in the freezer. This is the 2nd year in a row that I had to turn my A/C on in March. Needed it in the afternoon both days last week. The only other time I can remember needing A/C in March before last year was 2012….
“Cold” in late March is way, way different than actual cold in Dec, Jan, Feb. Post equinox and we now have the equivalent of an August sun overhead. The pattern depicted at the end of the month is a chilly rain pattern in the metro area at best